In Q2 2025, Tesla’s earnings missed estimates but shares rose due to ongoing vehicle rollout plans.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jul 23, 2025
    Tesla’s Q2 2025 earnings report revealed some disappointing results, but shares increased slightly in after-market trading. The company’s revenue was $22.50 billion, which was less than the expected $22.64 billion. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.33, lower than the predicted $0.42. The adjusted EPS was $0.40, also below the estimate of $0.42. However, the gross margin stood at 17.2%, exceeding the forecast of 16.5%. Free cash flow was $146 million, falling short of the expected $760 million. Tesla is on track to introduce new vehicles in 2025, including a more affordable model in the first half. The company’s new manufacturing strategy for the Cybercab aims for large-scale production in 2026. Despite challenges like tariffs and uncertain fiscal policies, Tesla is focusing on capital spending and research and development. The company maintains a strong balance sheet. The report presents a mixed bag for traders, with revenue and EPS misses offset by a surprise in gross margin. The positive after-hours market reaction suggests that expectations for more affordable models are outweighing the disappointing free cash flow figures. This creates a volatile environment for the weeks ahead. This uncertainty has impacted the options market, where we see high implied volatility. The current 30-day implied volatility for Tesla stock is around 58%, indicating that the market expects significant price movements, leading to expensive options contracts. This high entry cost must be considered in any trading strategy. For traders confident in the future of the Cybercab and new vehicles, selling premium could be a smart strategy. A bull put spread allows collectors to benefit from time decay and the high volatility. This defined-risk approach profits if the stock stays above a set strike price until expiration. On the other hand, those worried about economic pressures and increasing competition from companies like BYD should look at a bear call spread. This strategy also collects a good premium because of high volatility, allowing traders to profit from a potential decrease in enthusiasm after the earnings or a drop in the share price. Historically, Tesla’s stock has moved by double-digit percentages in the weeks following earnings. Traders who anticipate a large price change but are uncertain about the direction may consider a long strangle. However, they must believe that the stock will move enough to cover the high premium paid for both the call and put options.

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