In September, New Zealand’s monthly trade balance was -$1.355 billion, worse than the previous -$1.185 billion.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Oct 21, 2025
    **Gold Prices and Market Reactions** In the latest currency news, the EUR/USD pair approached 1.1630 during the Asian trading session. This move was driven by a stronger US Dollar, fueled by hopes for a resolution to the US government shutdown. Meanwhile, GBP/USD has shown a slight bearish trend as traders anticipate upcoming CPI inflation data from both the UK and the US. Gold prices remain high, nearing $4,380, due to ongoing US-China trade uncertainties. In addition, BlackRock has launched the iShares Bitcoin exchange-traded product in the UK, giving retail investors a new way to access cryptocurrency. Markets are closely monitoring US-China trade discussions and waiting for important US inflation data. Financial institutions and traders are evaluating how these factors might impact global economic stability and currency markets. New Zealand’s trade deficit widened to $-1.355 billion for September, indicating ongoing weakness for the Kiwi dollar. This negative trend has persisted over the last two quarters, leading to a decline in the NZD against major currencies. Derivative traders may view this situation as a chance to buy put options on the NZD/USD pair, expecting further drops. **US Dollar and Shutdown Implications** The current US government shutdown and trade uncertainties are pushing investors toward safer assets, which helps strengthen the US Dollar. This situation is similar to the market response during the 2018-2019 shutdown, where the dollar remained strong despite political turmoil. With the US Dollar Index around 98.50, strategies such as purchasing call options on the dollar index (UUP) or selling EUR/USD futures might be effective. Gold’s rise to nearly $4,380 an ounce reflects significant investor anxiety. This price is more than double what we saw in late 2021, highlighting the intense risk-off sentiment in the market. To take advantage of this while managing costs, traders might consider bull call spreads on gold futures. With WTI crude oil prices staying below $57 a barrel, worries about a global economic slowdown are growing. Recent World Bank data has lowered global GDP growth projections for 2025 to 2.4%, citing weak industrial activity and ongoing oversupply from non-OPEC producers. Given this context, shorting oil futures or buying puts on energy sector ETFs could be a good strategy to hedge against declining demand. The ongoing adoption of cryptocurrency by institutions, highlighted by the launch of a significant Bitcoin ETP for UK investors, indicates that this asset class is maturing. We are witnessing a shift from the retail-driven market of the early 2020s. Long-dated call options on Bitcoin or Ether could provide traders with exposure to the long-term growth potential that major financial institutions are now predicting. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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