Iran has informed mediators from Qatar and Oman that it will not join negotiations while under attack. This affects ceasefire talks with Israel and possible nuclear discussions with the United States. Iran insists that serious negotiations will only happen after it finishes responding to Israel’s preemptive strikes. This stance reflects what Iran’s Foreign Minister has said before: they will prepare for talks only after addressing recent conflicts. While the validity of these reports is unclear, there is hope that violence may soon decrease. In market news, futures trading is set to begin at 6:00 PM Eastern Time (11:00 PM GMT) this week. The situation shows Iran is now taking a “wait-and-react” approach, directly impacting ongoing diplomatic efforts. Iran has made its position clear: no talks while missiles are being fired. The message relayed through Gulf intermediaries sets a definitive boundary. It raises important questions about timing: how long will Iran take to respond? When might talks resume, if at all? For those watching the broader scenario, especially in the derivatives market, this signal goes beyond diplomacy. Santos has emphasized a methodical approach: react first, negotiate later. Even without full confirmation of these reports, the diplomatic landscape seems shaky, which could hinder discussions about ceasefires and nuclear limitations. On the tick charts and options flow, Sunday night’s open at 11:00 PM GMT comes with heightened expectations. Futures traders should brace for quick price adjustments right after the market opens. We can expect increased volatility, particularly in energy-related contracts and safe-haven investments. Price gaps are likely due to the ongoing uncertainty. We need to closely monitor positions tied to Middle Eastern political risks. Premiums have gradually increased over the past five days and now seem justified rather than speculative. Any hope that a move towards diplomacy could stabilize volatility should be replaced with a more cautious strategy. It’s wise to adjust positions, tighten stops, and reduce exposure during this risk period. Typically, event-driven swings like this challenge our convictions. The focus should be on adapting quickly, not just holding steady. Timing and preparation for sudden market changes will be more beneficial than rigid directional trading. As the market opens, it’s best to start with smaller positions and keep an eye on liquidity. If major shifts occur overnight in energy stocks or defense-related assets, fade strategies may not hold up under pressure. Instead, use well-tested strategies and stay flexible. Monitor assets tied closely to oil or foreign policy risks for early signs of trader reactions or methodical risk recalibrations. We’ve been through similar situations before. It usually begins with postponed diplomacy and gradually leads to pricing instability. Take it one step at a time.

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