Japanese Yen stabilizes above late-November lows after recent decline due to yield spreads

    by VT Markets
    /
    Dec 10, 2025
    The Japanese Yen has stabilized after a recent drop, now trading above its lows from late November. This change is due to the growing differences in yield between the US and Japan. Market expectations indicate that the Bank of Japan may tighten its policy, with a 23 basis point increase anticipated. The upcoming meetings of the Federal Reserve and the release of Tankan sentiment figures could lead to short-term volatility. The FXStreet Insights Team, which includes journalists and analysts, tracks market changes. They report fluctuations in financial markets, focusing on interest rates and currency values. Recent changes in US interest rates, especially a 25 basis point cut, have affected several markets, including gold, which has shown slight price increases. Additionally, currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD changed after the Federal Reserve’s decision. FXStreet highlights the need for individual research before trading, pointing out the risks and uncertainties in financial investments. They clarify that their insights are for informational purposes only and do not provide investment advice. The Yen is maintaining its position above its late November lows. Attention turns to next week, where both the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan meetings could create a high-risk environment. The market anticipates opposing actions, expecting a Fed cut and a BoJ increase. The expectation for a Fed rate cut grows as signs of a cooling US economy emerge. The latest jobs report for November 2025 revealed nonfarm payrolls at a disappointing 110,000, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%. This data supports a softer stance from the Fed, which could weaken the dollar. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan appears to be moving toward tightening its policy, shifting away from the negative interest rates held for much of the past decade. This change is being factored into the market, leading to a clear policy separation that favors a stronger Yen against the dollar. This expected volatility makes purchasing options on USD/JPY, especially puts, expensive but a direct way to prepare for a decline. With volatility premiums high before these key events, traders should consider managing these costs effectively. A bearish put spread on the USD/JPY may be a good strategy, allowing for a bet on a weaker dollar while limiting the upfront premium paid. The upcoming Tankan survey is also a significant factor, as a strong result could support the BoJ and boost the Yen further.

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