Nasdaq futures are moving closer to key resistance zones, with daily projections matching intraday patterns. This hints that a breakout or rotation could happen soon. On Friday, Nasdaq futures followed the planned structure, confirming our analysis for the week. The five-minute intraday chart showed three important zones that directed price movements, highlighting consistent patterns.

Key Levels Guide

At Friday’s open, Nasdaq futures dipped to a middle structure around 25,591, where buying interest emerged, signaling a potential trend pivot. Later, the price reached the upper structure at 25,805 – 25,855, confirming the significance of these zones as supply/demand markers. Key levels are as follows: – Middle structure (25,560 – 25,677): Decision zone – Upper structure (25,805 – 25,936): Breakout area – Lower structure (25,428 – 25,297): Possible rotation zone These structures help traders predict market movements. The daily chart shows that Friday’s close was above the value area high (VAH) at 25,575, indicating ongoing acceptance and a possibility of bullish continuation. Next targets for upward movement are in the 25,888–26,320 range. Bullish scenarios rely on holding essential levels and breaking out, while bearish scenarios focus on failed zones and potential rotations. The plan for the upcoming sessions depends on these structural factors during futures consolidation.

Market Catalysts Ahead

Entering the second week of December 2025, Nasdaq futures are tightly compressed within a defined structure. The key decision point is the middle zone between 25,560 and 25,677. If the price stays above this zone, the outlook remains bullish. However, market indecision suggests we need a significant catalyst for the next move. The upcoming catalyst is likely the November Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due next week, followed by the final Federal Reserve meeting of the year on December 17th. Recent inflation data shows a steady rate around 3.1%, and a stronger-than-expected jobs report has made traders cautious about committing to a direction. This uncertainty is contributing to the current price compression within these repeating structural zones. For now, options traders might find opportunities in low volatility, as the VIX remains at a multi-month low of 14. Strategies that thrive on sharp price changes, like straddles, could effectively capture a breakout driven by the upcoming economic data. The defined price structures offer clear levels for setting strike prices based on expected movement. If buyers can hold above the 25,560 pivot, the path will be open to test upper resistance at 25,805. Successfully breaking and holding above this level could line up with classic end-of-year strength, known as the “Santa Claus Rally.” Historically, this time often boosts equities, potentially leading the market closer to the higher daily targets around 26,320. Conversely, if the 25,560 support level fails, it would signal a significant warning. A high CPI report could easily push prices down into the lower liquidity zone between 25,428 and 25,297. Such a move would indicate that bearish sentiment is gaining traction ahead of the Fed’s final policy announcement for 2025. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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