Lifting of export ban on US jet engine parts to China shows improving trade relations

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jul 4, 2025
    The United States has lifted its ban on exporting jet engine parts and technology to China. This allows GE Aerospace to keep supplying components to Comac, China’s state-owned aircraft manufacturer. This change, along with relaxed controls on chip design software, indicates a growing trend of easing trade tensions between the U.S. and China. So far, GE Aerospace and Boeing have not provided comments, and no official statements have been made by the U.S. Commerce Department or Comac.

    Reuters Reports Development

    Lifting the export ban on jet engine parts and technology to China is more than just a simple concession. It’s a clear step toward easing restrictions that have tightened in recent months. GE Aerospace can now resume business with Comac, which helps stabilize existing supply chains that rely on consistent regulatory approvals. Traders were concerned about ongoing uncertainty due to strict policies regarding sensitive technology transfers. This week’s news changes that outlook. It suggests a more relaxed enforcement approach, without changing the overall strategic goals. This distinction is important for traders. This decision also follows a trend seen with controls on chip design software. Companies involved in complex manufacturing that depend on international input and expertise can now feel slightly more confident about market stability. Although the U.S. Commerce Department and Comac have not yet made official statements, activity on both ends is likely to continue in practice, even if not formally announced. The main takeaway here is about reducing uncertainty. Derivatives markets can now factor in less risk of sudden disruptions caused by technology-related tensions between the U.S. and China. This could lead to lower volatility premiums, especially in sectors related to aerospace and semiconductors. We don’t expect an immediate massive shift in positions, but this could influence skew distributions and implied volatility spreads in the weeks to come.

    Implications For Global Markets

    Companies that had paused their forecasts or hedging activities related to cross-border technology may start to revisit their strategies. This is particularly true for sectors where aerospace plays an indirect yet significant role. Expect clearer direction on longer-term contracts where policy clarity connects with production schedules. However, this isn’t an outright endorsement of open trade. Instead, it’s a tactical move to sustain influence while maintaining commercial benefits. Policymakers seem to be selectively relaxing restrictions where it suits them, without losing leverage. This nuance is critical in understanding the messaging, even without direct quotes from officials. In the future, greater liquidity in specific industrial inputs may lead to more predictable earnings for some companies, affecting options pricing closely. As liquidity adjusts to these restored flows, we will monitor subtle changes in trading volume and strike selection related to export-sensitive sectors. We have already seen how adjustments in terminal rate expectations influence trade in tech-heavy assets; developments like this add another factor to consider. This does not cancel out previous trends but differentiates immediate movements from long-term structural changes. Resuming a single export line does not alter strategic containment, but it does affect week-to-week adjustments for those involved in related sectors. Also, this suggests that while public rhetoric may be intense, administrative actions may occur quietly to manage economic friction. Volatility traders should carefully watch options trends, especially in sectors linked to aerospace supply. Changes in calendar spreads and delta-neutral hedges are likely, particularly as they align with broader strategies for managing risk. We need to pay extra attention to updates on export licenses, trade regulations, and Treasury briefings, focusing not only on what is restricted but also on what is quietly allowed to resume. In this context, permissions could become more significant than prohibitions. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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