Megan Greene from the Bank of England shares inflation concerns at the Goodbody Annual Equity Conference in Dublin.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Nov 27, 2025
    **Inflation and Currencies** According to Greene from the Bank of England, inflation is stabilizing, but business expectations are rising. Greene is especially worried about possible second-round effects, as there are signs of wage growth. The Bank of England expects an increase in economic slack, with labor market data showing signs of this. The BoE Agents’ Survey reports average pay settlements at about 3.5%, which could indicate a shift in how wages are set. The British Pound has performed well against the Swiss Franc, as illustrated by the heat map of currency changes. The GBP showed small fluctuations against currencies like the US Dollar and Euro during the trading day. After the Thanksgiving holiday, markets reacted mildly. US markets were closed, and UK and European stocks dipped slightly. Ripple has been underperforming against key resistance levels, while Ethereum approached its block gas limit without significant upgrades. **Financial Planning and Market Strategies** There has also been focus on gold trading, the interaction of sterling with various currencies, and financial planning for 2025 among brokers. Investors should be cautious and do their homework before making market decisions, as volatility poses risks. The Bank of England is taking a strong stance against inflation due to worries about entrenched price expectations. This is in stark contrast to growing beliefs that the US Federal Reserve may lower rates soon. This difference in policy is becoming a key theme for sterling traders. Recent data shows that inflation remains persistent, with October 2025’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) holding at 2.8%, still above the 2% target. Wage growth is also high, with Average Weekly Earnings increasing by 4.1% annually. These figures indicate that the BoE’s job isn’t over. For derivative traders, this suggests strategies that could benefit from a stronger pound against the dollar. Buying call options on GBP/USD might be a good move, as the pair is nearing highs around 1.3230. Interest rate markets also present opportunities, with SONIA futures likely to do better than US SOFR futures if the policy gap increases. Nevertheless, the BoE’s statements present mixed signals, with signs of improving slack in the economy. This uncertainty may lead to higher implied volatility on sterling options in the coming weeks. Traders could consider buying straddles if they expect a significant price movement but are uncertain about the direction. Looking back, this situation feels like a continuation of the inflation struggle we observed from 2022 to 2024. Policymakers are wary of declaring victory too early, fearing inflation might rise again. This historical perspective suggests that the BoE may maintain a hawkish stance for longer than the market anticipates. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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