Equity And Crypto Risk On Signals
Bank Nifty is consolidating above 59,000. A breakout above 61,700 is set as the level needed for targets of 63,500, 65,000, and 67,000. The video flags bullish setups for HDFC Bank with a target of 1,000+, ITC with 410, Tata Steel with 225, and BHEL with 305–310. It also raises a March 2026 downside risk scenario for gold and silver, with downside targets and invalidation levels referenced in the episode. As we begin March 2026, a significant divergence is appearing across markets that derivative traders must watch closely. We see a clear risk-on appetite in equities and crypto, while precious metals are flashing warning signs. This setup requires a two-pronged strategy for the weeks ahead. For the Nifty 50, we should maintain a bullish stance by considering call options or bull call spreads as long as the index stays above 24,500. This positive outlook is bolstered by India’s strong Q4 2025 GDP figures, which beat forecasts, and a robust February 2026 manufacturing PMI reading of 58.2. A decisive break of the 26,325 resistance is the signal to target the 27,500 level.Precious Metals Downside Focus
The Bank Nifty is also primed for a move, consolidating above the 59,000 mark. We are looking at a breakout above 61,700 as a trigger to add long positions, possibly through futures or call options on strong components like HDFC Bank. The Reserve Bank of India’s recent stable interest rate guidance provides a favorable backdrop for this trade. Conversely, we are preparing for weakness in precious metals and should look at buying put options on Gold and Silver. This bearish view is reinforced by the US Dollar Index (DXY) recently hitting a five-month high near 106, making dollar-denominated assets like gold more expensive. This is reminiscent of the price action we saw in late 2025, when a strengthening dollar led to a sharp correction in metals. The constructive setup in Bitcoin, which saw institutional ETF inflows hit record highs in February 2026, further confirms the market’s current preference for riskier assets over traditional safe havens. This tells us that capital is flowing towards growth and technology, leaving commodities like gold and silver behind for now. We can use this trend as a broad market sentiment indicator. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.
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