Silver prices drop to $32.26 after US Treasury yields rise

    by VT Markets
    /
    May 18, 2025
    Silver prices dropped by over 1% on Friday, finishing the week on a low note due to rising US Treasury yields. The XAG/USD pair was around $32.26, having reached highs of $32.68 earlier. The technical analysis for Silver shows it is trading within the 50 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages, which are at $32.73 and $31.88, respectively. The Relative Strength Index is flat near the neutral 50 mark, indicating that Silver lacks a clear direction.

    Possible Movements and Goals

    If Silver surpasses $33.00, it could aim for targets at $33.50 and $34.51. However, if it drops below $32.00, it may reach the 100-day SMA at $31.88, with lower targets at $31.65 and $31.23. Historically, Silver serves as a store of value and a medium of exchange, appealing to those diversifying their portfolios or seeking currency alternatives. Its price is driven by factors like geopolitical stability, interest rates, and US Dollar strength. Industrial demand, especially from electronics and solar energy sectors, also influences Silver prices. Economic changes in the US, China, and India play a significant role. Additionally, Gold’s performance affects Silver, as both are seen as safe-haven investments. Recently, Silver pulled back slightly after nearing recent highs, coinciding with rising US Treasury yields. Selling pressure emerged around the $32.68 level, and prices eased to about $32.26, reversing earlier week’s gains.

    Key Influencers and Predictions

    Currently, Silver is caught between two important moving averages—the 50-day at $32.73 and the 100-day at $31.88. The Relative Strength Index, close to 50, indicates there is no strong momentum in either buying or selling. We seem to be in a temporary pause. If Silver breaks above $33.00 with strong volume, targets at $33.50 and $34.51 might attract attention, as sellers have previously entered around those levels. However, downward pressure remains. A solid drop below $32.00 would lead us to monitor support at $31.88, with possible targets at $31.65 and $31.23 if that support fails. To understand price movements, it’s important to consider broader factors. Silver reacts to economic forces like interest rate changes, US Dollar fluctuations, and central bank activities. When yields rise, metals become less appealing, as other assets with guaranteed returns may seem more attractive. Silver is not only a safe haven; it is also vital in industrial use. Steady demand from solar panel and tech manufacturers influences prices. When production increases in nations like China or the US, Silver prices often reflect this. Currently, signals from these economies are mixed—not weak, but also not showing significant growth. Gold also impacts Silver’s movement. They usually move in tandem, with Silver following Gold’s lead. Trends indicate that if Gold shows significant movement, Silver typically reacts, especially during changes in risk sentiment after major economic data or market volatility. Next week, Silver’s price action may depend on market reactions rather than predictions. If yields rise further, prices may struggle; if yields drop, bullish traders might eye the $33 level again. We’ll closely observe Silver’s behavior around moving averages, as any significant break above or below could dictate future positioning. In practical terms, when prices fluctuate and momentum is stagnant, it’s crucial to be flexible. Reacting remains more effective than trying to predict movements unless there’s a clear trend with volume backing it. Monitoring interest rate futures, central bank statements, and manufacturing activity in key economies will provide better clarity. Timing entries and exits with technical confirmations, especially near $33 and $32, is essential. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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