Silver rises for the fourth day, bolstered by safe-haven demand and expectations of Federal Reserve easing

    by VT Markets
    /
    Dec 24, 2025
    Silver prices have risen for four straight days, boosted by hopes that the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy. Currently, Silver trades at $72.05, up 0.70%. Expectations for Fed policy play a key role. There’s over a 70% chance of cumulative interest rate cuts by 2026, which contrasts with official forecasts that predict minimal cuts. These expectations benefit non-yielding assets like Silver. US GDP growth was strong at 4.3% year-over-year in the third quarter. However, attention is still on easing inflation and signs of monetary support. Silver shines as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical uncertainties and a weak US Dollar, which boosts demand. While Silver isn’t as popular as Gold, it provides diversification and hedges against inflation. Investors can buy physical Silver or use Exchange Traded Funds. Prices are affected by interest rates, US Dollar trends, industrial demand, and Gold price movements. Industrial sectors, especially electronics and solar energy, significantly influence Silver prices. The Gold/Silver ratio helps assess their relative values. A high ratio might suggest Silver is undervalued, while a low ratio could indicate the opposite. Silver recently hit a record high of $72.71 this week, showing strong upward momentum as we approach the end of 2025. This four-day gain signals growing interest in precious metals as we head into the new year. The main factor is the market’s belief that the Fed will cut rates in 2026. Even though the Fed projects a longer-term higher interest rate environment, the market anticipates at least two cuts. Recent data, like the November 2025 Non-Farm Payrolls report showing job growth slowing to 160,000, raises speculation that the economy is cooling enough for the Fed to take action. The Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped below 99.00, benefitting dollar-priced assets. Traders wanting to capitalize on this trend might consider buying call options with strike prices at $75 or $80 for February and March 2026 expiries. Positive sentiment suggests these targets could be realistic if the Fed hints at dovish plans in their first meeting of the new year. This approach offers potential for extra gains. However, with current implied volatility levels, options are pricier. An alternative is selling bull put spreads, which profit if prices stay above a certain level, benefiting from elevated volatility. This strategy is safer for those who think the rally might stabilize but remain bullish on Silver. It’s important to stay alert for any shift in Fed sentiment since the market’s aggressive pricing of cuts poses risks. Buying protective puts or creating put debit spreads can shield long positions from sudden, hawkish moves. The gap between market expectations and the Fed’s dot plot remains the biggest risk to this rally. The Gold/Silver ratio continues to drop sharply, now nearly 48, down from an average of over 60 in early 2025. This indicates more speculative interest in Silver, similar to what we observed during the rapid market recovery in late 2020. Traders should look for signs that this ratio may be nearing its bottom as an early signal of potential slowdown in Silver’s outperformance.

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