The GDT price index in New Zealand fell from -4.3% to -4.4%

    by VT Markets
    /
    Dec 16, 2025
    New Zealand’s Global Dairy Trade Price Index dropped slightly from -4.3% to -4.4%. In the United States, retail sales for October stayed almost the same at $732.6 billion, according to the US Census Bureau. This number came after a 0.1% increase in September and fell short of the expected 0.1% rise.

    Gold Prices And Peace Talks

    Gold prices have dipped a bit since the start of the week but still hold onto gains from last week. The main focus is on the recent peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. People are also eagerly waiting for the upcoming US employment data. Additionally, tensions in Venezuela are being closely watched. Flat retail sales in October were followed by news of a 0.2% drop in November, indicating a decline in US consumer strength. This slowdown comes even as inflation data shows core prices staying stubbornly above 3%, posing challenges for corporate profits. We see this as an opportunity to consider buying put options on major consumer-focused indices as the year ends. The drop in the Global Dairy Trade index to -4.4% shows a larger issue of weakening global demand. This aligns with recent PMI data from China for November 2025, which stayed in contraction at 49.4, affecting commodity-exporting nations. Derivative traders should view this as a bearish signal for currencies like the New Zealand and Australian dollars.

    Gold Resilience And Market Anxiety

    Gold’s ability to maintain gains despite a stronger dollar reflects market anxiety over stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks and tensions in Venezuela. A similar pattern was seen in early 2022 when geopolitical conflicts caused the VIX volatility index to spike above 35. Hedging portfolios with VIX call options or futures may be a wise strategy in the coming weeks. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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