The New Zealand GDT price index has risen sharply, going from -1.6% to 21.9%. This change highlights shifts in the market that are affecting various parts of the global economy.

Currency And Commodities Update

In currency news, the EUR/USD has decreased to around 1.16. This comes as the US dollar strengthens, partly due to easing tensions between the US and China. The GBP/USD has also weakened, sitting near 1.3360. Upcoming UK inflation data may influence the Bank of England’s future decisions. Gold prices have fallen significantly, dropping over 5% to below $4,100 per troy ounce. This decline is driven by several market factors. The Ethereum market is seeing some volatility as ETH tests the $4,100 mark, influenced by treasury firms SharpLink and BitMine.

Bitcoin And The Global Economic Outlook

Bitcoin treasuries have reported a staggering 99% drop in inflows, affecting corporate asset ownership over the past five years. Overall, the global economy shows a mix of relief and anxiety. Market participants are keeping a close eye on potential economic changes. Looking back to late 2021, we see dollar strength with EUR/USD testing 1.16. Today, in October 2025, the situation has shifted as the Federal Reserve pauses its multi-year tightening cycle. Recent comments suggest future easing is possible, hinting at potential dollar weakness soon. Traders might consider call options on major currency pairs against the dollar. The significant 21.9% jump in the Global Dairy Trade index was a clear signal of inflation back in 2021. Four years later, while dairy prices remain high, supply chain issues have improved, making future markets more stable. With agricultural volatility indices near two-year lows, selling strangles or covered calls on milk futures could be a good way to earn income in a sideways market. In late 2021, gold dropped 5% as the dollar strengthened. Now, with gold trading around $2,350 an ounce, geopolitical risks and consistent central bank buying are supporting prices. Given our expectation of a weaker dollar, buying call spreads on gold futures for December appears wise for a potential year-end rally. The record highs in the Dow Jones during 2021 were driven by post-pandemic recovery earnings. Now, in late 2025, the market faces slower growth. The latest non-farm payrolls data indicates a cooling labor market, suggesting a more defensive approach. Consider using protective put options on major indices like the S&P 500 as a sensible hedge against a possible downturn next quarter. In late 2021, Ethereum was near its peak while corporate interest was waning, highlighting the market’s speculative nature. Today, the environment has matured with the introduction of spot ETFs and regulated futures, greatly reducing volatility. With implied volatility on CME Bitcoin options recently hitting the lowest levels since 2023, selling cash-secured puts below the current market price can help collect premium while establishing a clear entry point. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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