The USD/CHF stays stable below 0.8000, supported by US dollar demand and risk aversion

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jul 12, 2025
    The USD/CHF remains steady below 0.8000. The US Dollar is in demand, gaining 0.36% for the week. Technical signs indicate that a downtrend might continue, aiming for support levels at the July lows of 0.7919 and 0.7872. Possible resistance is near the 0.8000 level, held back by the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and an April trendline. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows slight bullish momentum but stays below the neutral line.

    Economic Factors Impacting The Swiss Franc

    The Swiss Franc is influenced by several economic factors. These include Switzerland’s economic health, market sentiment, and the actions of the Swiss National Bank (SNB). As a safe-haven currency, the Franc often responds to changes in Eurozone policies. Decisions by the SNB, such as changing interest rates, affect how attractive the Franc is. Indicators like economic growth, inflation, and currency reserves also play a role. Furthermore, the Swiss Franc closely follows the Euro due to Switzerland’s dependency on the Eurozone. The USD/CHF pair is stable below the key level of 0.8000, even with the US Dollar showing mild gains. Although the pair has increased about 0.36% in the past five days, the price movement shows more caution than strength. It’s important to note that the chart indicates a weakening upward trend. The 20-day SMA is near the resistance area but hasn’t provided the momentum needed for a significant price increase. This suggests that traders view the longer-term trendline from April as a ceiling rather than a launching point. The RSI has slightly improved but remains too low to be encouraging. Since it is under 50, this typically indicates a bearish outlook unless there is a strong move upward. This situation suggests that buyers are hesitant, possibly due to macroeconomic worries or uncertainty.

    Key Support And Resistance Levels

    Key downside levels to watch are clear. The July lows at 0.7919 and 0.7872 may attract attention if bearish pressure increases. There is little support below 0.7870, prompting traders to reassess their positions around these levels. Looking ahead, we should monitor Switzerland’s economic data—especially growth, inflation, and reserves—as they may influence the SNB’s next moves. The bank has surprised us a few times this year, so paying close attention to their guidance is important. Since the Franc moves closely with the Euro, we also need to track news and statements from European policymakers. Discrepancies between the ECB and SNB concerning rates can quickly affect CHF pairs, adding complexity to this USD pair. Volatility can arise suddenly, so we might want to adopt a slightly defensive stance until we confirm either a bounce off support or a proper break through resistance. As the situation unfolds over the next few sessions, short-term strategies may benefit from being reactive rather than proactive. We will observe levels, indicators, and policy shifts with patience. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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