The YM_F Dow futures have been on an upward trend since hitting a low on April 7, 2025. This trend hints at more price increases, and it’s recommended to buy during dips in certain blue box areas. By July 15, 2025, the Dow futures rose to a high of $45,177 after completing a cycle from the previous low on June 19, 2025. After that, a correction occurred, ending in the blue box area of $44,291–$43,819, where buying interest could lead to more upward movement.

Market Update

As of July 22, 2025, the index has been rising following the correction in the blue box area. To maintain upward momentum, it’s crucial to break above $45,177; otherwise, a more significant decline may happen. Foreign Exchange trading carries significant risks and isn’t suitable for everyone due to leverage, potential financial losses, and the experience required. The content and analysis provided are not guaranteed, and the authors take no responsibility for any losses from their forecasts or signals. Proprietary information is protected, and violations are subject to financial liabilities. We view the upward trend since April as the main direction, suggesting that the Dow futures are likely to rise further. The recent dip into the blue box was a normal correction within a larger uptrend. Traders should consider this a healthy pause instead of a cause for concern.

Economic Indicators and Market Performance

This technical outlook is supported by recent economic data. The June 2025 jobs report indicated a moderate payroll increase of 170,000, while the Consumer Price Index eased to 3.2% year-over-year. This indicates a growing economy without overheating, which reduces the Federal Reserve’s need to raise interest rates. Historically, markets thrive in conditions of lowering inflation coupled with steady economic growth. Corporate earnings have also been strong, with over 75% of companies in the index exceeding profit expectations last quarter. This financial stability supports the bullish technical trend we’re seeing. As a result, we suggest that derivative traders take advantage of any small pullbacks in the upcoming weeks to prepare for further upward movement. Recent buying interest in the $44,291–$43,819 area shows that buyers are active during dips. It’s essential to manage risk while anticipating the continuation of this trend. The immediate goal should be for the index to clearly break and hold above the previous peak of $45,177. A sustained movement past this level would indicate the end of the corrective phase and the start of the next upward leg. Until that occurs, a larger sideways correction is still a possibility. Trading futures carries significant risks due to leverage and may not suit everyone. The analysis presented is not a guarantee of future performance, and we are not liable for any financial losses. This proprietary information should not be shared or reproduced. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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