Today’s events appear uneventful, with only minor releases expected from Germany and the US.
by VT Markets
/
Jul 25, 2025
Yesterday was the busiest day of the week for economic data. Today, the focus shifts to the German IFO index and US Durable Goods Orders data.
These reports are not expected to significantly affect central banks or market trends. We’ve also got lower-profile releases, such as the ECB’s money supply data and Italy’s Business Confidence.
Upcoming Economic Events
Next week looks busy with key releases, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report and a tariffs deadline on Friday. There’s growing excitement about potential trade deals throughout the week.
We view this calm period as a chance to prepare for upcoming market changes. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, is currently below 15, which is historically low and suggests that the market is feeling secure. This may be a good time to buy options contracts for protection or speculation before the big events hit.
The upcoming employment data is a key focus. Economists predict around 185,000 new jobs will be created. A significant difference from this number could shake up the markets and change expectations for what the central bank will do next. We’ve seen in the past that a surprise of 75,000 jobs or more can lead to a 1-2% move in index futures within the first hour after the release.
Trade Policy Considerations
We should also prepare for possible outcomes related to trade policy. Any news, whether good or bad, about tariffs can lead to sharp price changes, especially during weekends. A neutral options strategy like a straddle might be a good way to benefit from a big price swing without needing to guess the outcome of the negotiations.
Given the quiet before these events, it’s smart to take time to assess risk. Reducing exposure or buying protective put options on broader market ETFs can help shield a portfolio from negative surprises. This is like buying cheap insurance before a week filled with uncertainty.
Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.
by VT Markets
Jul 25, 2025
Insights 
VT 
