Today’s FX option expiries include a significant AUD/USD expiry at the 0.6600 level.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jul 4, 2025
    It’s a quiet day in the markets because of a US holiday, with no big expiries affecting trading. However, there is a significant expiry for AUD/USD at the 0.6600 level. This level isn’t linked to any technical factors, so its effect might be limited. The pair is currently facing resistance around the 0.6580-90 range, and the expiry could add some influence.

    Trading Atmosphere

    The US holiday leads to a calm trading atmosphere, making the end of the week quieter. Keep an eye on any trading headlines during this session. This part of the report highlights a peaceful trading session, mainly because US markets are closed for a public holiday. With fewer traders and lower liquidity, price movements in major currency pairs will likely reflect soft flows and minor adjustments rather than strong trends. This situation lowers the chances of sudden price changes, unless unexpected news appears. The notable option expiry for AUD/USD at 0.6600 is important, but not because it’s near a key chart level or a recent high or low. It’s currently situated just above the recent cap around 0.6580–90, which has been a zone of price resistance. While this doesn’t guarantee a market reaction, the presence of an option strike nearby might affect settlements near the London or New York cut, especially in thin trading. We’ve seen that expiries close to short-term zones can stabilize prices if there’s not much else driving movement.

    Market Observations

    As we move into the next few sessions, volatility usually remains low after long weekends in the US. However, given how quiet it is, even minor trade news could spark activity in affected FX pairs or regional stocks. There’s no reason to chase movements aggressively, especially with major US traders off their desks. During quiet sessions like this, it’s helpful to observe where trading volumes gather throughout the day and to identify where dealers may hold gamma-related positions. This can provide small price pull points, even without usual triggers. For us, observing AUD/USD around 0.6580 and 0.6600 could reveal whether an expiry-triggered pin is forming or if it’s been mostly hedged and absorbed ahead of time. This information suggests a cautious approach is best. Keep an eye on significant headlines, especially regarding Asian trade developments, and pay attention to how prices behave near expiry times—rather than trying to guess direction in the absence of broader influences. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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