Traders expect the Swiss ZEW survey and US GDP, causing USD/CHF to drop below 0.7950

    by VT Markets
    /
    Dec 22, 2025

    Trump Talks About Interest Rates

    US President Trump recently shared his views on interest rates and hinted that he prefers them to be lower. Meanwhile, traders are paying close attention to the Swiss ZEW Expectations survey for December to gather insights into business conditions and the Swiss National Bank’s outlook on rates. The Swiss Franc is considered a safe-haven currency, thanks to Switzerland’s stable economy and political neutrality. The Swiss National Bank’s decisions, especially regarding interest rates and inflation, play a major role in determining the value of the Franc. Switzerland relies heavily on the Eurozone, which means the Swiss Franc’s value often moves in line with the Euro. Economic data from Switzerland also influences the Franc’s worth, affecting how strong it is compared to other currencies.

    Swiss Franc as a Safe Haven

    As of December 22, 2025, the USD/CHF exchange rate has dipped below 0.7950, creating a buying opportunity ahead of important data releases. Traders should brace for possible volatility from tomorrow’s US third-quarter GDP figures and the Swiss ZEW survey. Since the US Q2 GDP was a modest 1.8%, any weak data for Q3 could put additional pressure on the US Dollar. Earlier in 2025, the Federal Reserve cut rates by 75 basis points, and now the effects of these cuts are under examination. With November’s core PCE inflation remaining steady at 2.8%, the Fed has good reason to pause. This is evident in the 79% chance of maintaining rates in January. This situation creates a tense backdrop for the dollar, suggesting strategies that could benefit from ongoing stability or sudden movements due to policy surprises. On the Swiss side, tomorrow’s ZEW survey will offer new insights into business sentiment, especially after November’s results indicated some pessimism. The Swiss National Bank has indicated it’s unlikely to bring back negative interest rates, which helps support the Franc. This approach limits the chances of a significant decline in the Franc, even if economic data falls short. We should also keep an eye on the Swiss Franc’s role as a safe-haven asset, which could strengthen if global markets become shaky as we approach 2026. The Franc’s strong correlation with the Euro means that signals from the European Central Bank are also important. Any difference in actions between the Fed and the ECB could have a direct impact on the USD/CHF exchange rate. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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