UOB Group analysts suggest NZD/USD may range between 0.5610 and 0.5645

    by VT Markets
    /
    Nov 10, 2025
    The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to move between 0.5610 and 0.5645. Recent analysis shows it has bounced back from a low of 0.5607, currently sitting at 0.5627. This suggests there is some recovery in an oversold market. In the coming weeks, the NZD might drop to 0.5600. It reached a new low but has shown positive momentum recently. If it doesn’t rise above 0.5600 soon and instead reaches 0.5660, it could signal that the NZD is stabilizing.

    Nzd Usd Market Report

    As of November 10, 2025, NZD/USD is likely to stay within a narrow range. For traders, this might be a good time to use strategies that benefit from low volatility, like selling strangles with strike prices around 0.5610 to 0.5645. This strategy works well if the market remains stable as momentum decreases. The current weakness in the NZD is influenced by recent economic data, particularly a disappointing Q3 GDP growth of only 0.2% in New Zealand. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept the Official Cash Rate steady at 5.50% in their last meeting, indicating limited potential for further declines. On the US side, the latest CPI data for October 2025 shows core inflation at 3.8%, causing the Federal Reserve to remain cautious, which supports the US dollar. A sign of change could be the fading downward pressure, indicating that the current downtrend may be losing strength. We should closely watch the resistance level at 0.5660 and the support at 0.5600. A long strangle—buying both a call and a put option—could be wise, allowing us to benefit from a significant price movement if either level is broken.

    Trading Strategies And Historical Data

    Historically, we saw a similar trend in late 2023 when the pair stayed around 0.5900 for several weeks before a strong rally. This indicates that quiet periods can precede major trend changes. While range-trading strategies are appealing now, it is important to look for signs that a new trend may be developing. For now, options that expire in the next one to two weeks seem ideal for taking advantage of this tight range. If the price surpasses the strong resistance at 0.5660, it would confirm that the recent weakness has stabilized, prompting us to close bearish positions and explore strategies that support NZD strength. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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