Upward momentum indicates the New Zealand Dollar may reach 0.5980, but lasting gains appear unlikely.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Aug 8, 2025
    The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has enough strength to reach 0.5980, but it’s unlikely to go much higher. It recently touched 0.5967 and then settled at 0.5962. There is further resistance at 0.6000, which also seems hard to reach soon. Support levels are at 0.5945 and 0.5930. Recently, the NZD moved above the expected range of 0.5860 to 0.5960, hitting a high. While the upward trend is building, it’s uncertain if the NZD can rise to 0.6000. If it stays above 0.5910, there is hope for a small increase.

    Market Risks And Recommendations

    This information includes risks and uncertainties. It shouldn’t be considered advice to buy or sell. Always do thorough research before making financial decisions. Markets can be unpredictable, and there is a risk of losing your entire investment. As of August 8, 2025, the New Zealand Dollar shows upward momentum that is slowing down. It is struggling to break past the 0.5980 mark, indicating that this level is currently a strong barrier. We see immediate support at 0.5945, which traders should monitor closely in the days ahead. This slowing momentum is likely due to recent economic data. The latest Global Dairy Trade auction showed stable prices, removing a key boost for the Kiwi dollar. Also, while the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised rates in the second quarter of 2025, recent comments suggest a pause to evaluate the effects, limiting expectations for further rate hikes.

    Historical Data And Trading Strategies

    Looking at data from 2023 and 2024, the NZD/USD pair often consolidated after failing to break through important psychological levels. We saw this pattern when the currency approached levels like 0.6200 in the past. The current difficulties around the 0.6000 level mirror that pattern, suggesting limited upward movement. For derivative traders, this outlook means considering strategies that profit if the NZD doesn’t rise above 0.6000 in the coming weeks. One strategy involves selling call options with a strike price at or just above 0.6000. This approach would generate income as long as the currency stays below that tough resistance level until the option expires. Conversely, if the NZD falls below the 0.5910 support level, it would indicate the recent upward movement has completely failed. In that case, buying put options could be a good strategy to take advantage of a potential drop toward the lower end of the previous range. Monitoring the 0.5910 level is critical for assessing downside risk. This creates an opportunity for a range-bound strategy over the next few weeks. We can set up trades that will benefit as long as the currency stays between our support near 0.5910 and the strong resistance below 0.6000. This strategy aligns with the view that the NZD has reached its peak for now and is due for a period of stability. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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