Visa’s rise from the 2022 low is described as complete, with a five-wave advance ending wave (III) at $375. The stock then moved into a weekly correction labelled wave (IV).
The pullback is outlined as a corrective “double three” pattern. Price has already moved into the $300–$264 “Blue Box” zone referenced as an extreme area.
The analysis expects an upward reaction from this zone, with at least a three-wave bounce. A new wave (V) is projected to start from here, with a target range of $395–$427.
The approach advises looking for entries after a 3, 7, or 11-swing correction is completed. It also refers to a proprietary “Blue Box” method used to define areas for potential trades.
The weekly correction we analyzed in 2025 has materialized, with Visa finding significant support within the target $300 – $264 zone earlier this year. As of today, April 14, 2026, the stock has already begun its bounce from this area, confirming the underlying strength we anticipated. This rebound signals that the larger bullish cycle is resuming as wave (V) takes hold.
This technical rebound is strongly supported by recent fundamental data that has emerged in early 2026. Visa’s first-quarter 2026 earnings comfortably beat analyst estimates, driven by a 9% year-over-year increase in total payment volumes. The continued recovery in cross-border travel, now exceeding pre-pandemic levels, is providing a significant tailwind for high-margin revenue.
Furthermore, broad economic indicators are aligning favorably for the company. The March 2026 retail sales report showed a surprising 1.1% increase, indicating that consumer spending remains robust despite previous concerns over inflation. With inflation now moderating near the Fed’s target, the stable interest rate environment is supportive of continued credit and debit usage.
In the coming weeks, derivative traders should consider buying call options to capture the expected upward move towards the $395 target. The June and July 2026 expirations provide adequate time for the initial phase of wave (V) to unfold. Strike prices around the $325 level offer a compelling balance of leverage and probability.
For a more conservative income-generating strategy, selling bull put spreads is an attractive option. By selling a put option with a strike price below the recent lows, such as $295, traders can collect premium while defining their risk. This strategy profits as long as Visa’s stock price remains above this key support level through expiration.
This current price action is reminiscent of the pullback we saw in mid-2023, which was also followed by a sharp rally of over 20% in the subsequent months. The structural setup is nearly identical, giving us high confidence that a new impulsive rally is beginning from the recent lows. We see the path to the $395–$427 area as being well underway.
