XAG/USD drops to new lows near $47.30 despite positive market sentiment and trade news

    by VT Markets
    /
    Oct 27, 2025
    Silver prices have dropped to two-week lows of $47.33 due to a positive market atmosphere. Talks of a potential trade deal between China and the US have created negative sentiment for precious metals, pulling XAG/USD down from mid-October highs above $54.00 toward the $47.00 mark. Comments from US President Trump about a favorable agreement with China have added pressure on safe-haven assets like silver. Technical analysis indicates a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern pointing to a target of $46.00, as prices remain below the neckline around $50.71. The $46.00 level is seen as a strong support point, followed by the 76.2% Fibonacci retracement near $44.00. Resistance may be found at $49.40 and above $51, with October highs reaching $52.75. Silver acts as a store of value and helps protect against inflation, though not as much as gold. Various factors, like geopolitical events and a strong US dollar, can affect silver prices. Its use in industries, especially electronics and solar energy, also plays a role. Silver generally moves in line with gold, and the Gold/Silver ratio provides insight into their relative values. Looking back, the negative sentiment from hopes of a US-China trade deal pushed silver down to $47.30. Technical analysis from that time correctly predicted a drop to around $46.00, which offered solid support before the trend reversed. As of late October 2025, market conditions have changed significantly from that earlier optimistic climate. Today, caution has replaced the previous upbeat mood, driven by renewed concerns about global supply chains and geopolitical tensions. This uncertainty is increasing interest in safe-haven assets, creating a solid floor for silver prices. The optimism that once pressured precious metals has faded. On the fundamentals, industrial demand for silver is now much stronger. Recent manufacturing reports from 2025 indicate a nearly 25% year-over-year increase in global solar panel production, directly boosting silver consumption. This robust industrial use provides a strong upward pull that wasn’t a focus when trade headlines dominated the news. Additionally, the interest rate landscape is now favorable. Major central banks are signaling an end to their tightening cycles, which reduces the cost of holding non-yielding assets like silver. A weaker US dollar, which has recently dipped below 104 on the DXY index, is also making silver cheaper for foreign buyers, supporting its price. Currently, the Gold/Silver ratio is at a high of 87:1, well above the historical average over the past decade. This indicates that silver is undervalued compared to gold and has significant potential for growth. This valuation gap suggests silver could outperform gold in the near future. As a result, we should consider any price dips as chances to invest in silver. Traders might think about using pullbacks toward the $49.50 support level to buy call options or bull call spreads. This approach would allow us to benefit from the positive fundamental environment while managing our risk.

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