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GBP/USD rises to around 1.3305 during the early European session as the dollar weakens

The GBP/USD pair is trading positively at around 1.3305 in the early European session. The US Dollar is losing strength against the Pound, mainly due to expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. This would mark the third reduction this year, decreasing the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a range between 3.50% and 3.75%. Earlier, the pair dropped after failing to break above the 1.3350 level but stayed above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, which is near 1.3250. Investors are focusing on the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision, which has an 87% probability of resulting in a quarter-point cut. This comes amidst ongoing inflation concerns and preparations for new Fed leadership in 2026.

Impact Of Jobs Data

The GBP/USD has weakened, dropping below the 200-day Simple Moving Average of 1.3331, down 0.21% on Tuesday. This decline followed the release of US jobs data, which showed an increase in job openings from 7.658 million to 7.67 million in October, according to the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This news pushed the GBP/USD pair below 1.3300. With the Fed’s rate decision happening today, the anticipated 25 basis point cut is already included in the GBP/USD price. Instead of focusing on the cut, we should pay attention to the forward guidance from Chair Powell’s press conference. His comments about monetary policy direction into 2026 will significantly impact market movement. The market’s reaction will depend on whether this cut is seen as the last in the current cycle. If the Fed suggests that the easing cycle has ended, we might witness a strong rally in the US dollar, pushing GBP/USD back below the important 1.3250 support level. This scenario mirrors what occurred in late 2023 when the market’s aggressive expectations for rate cuts met a more careful approach from officials.

Potential Outcomes And Strategies

This rate cut is significant, especially since the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading for October 2025 was 3.9%, still above the Fed’s 2% target. Cutting rates amidst ongoing inflation creates uncertainty, suggesting that volatility options on GBP/USD could be beneficial. Traders might explore strategies that profit from significant price movements, regardless of their direction. Later this week, we will turn our focus to Friday’s UK monthly GDP report. The market consensus predicts a slight contraction of 0.1% for the month, reflecting the sluggish growth seen throughout most of 2025. A figure weaker than this could weaken the Pound and add pressure to the pair. In the coming weeks, we will closely monitor the range between recent resistance near 1.3350 and support around the 200-day moving average. A dovish stance from the Fed combined with an unexpectedly strong UK GDP figure could provide the necessary momentum to rise higher. Conversely, a hawkish surprise from the Fed today could likely send the pair below 1.3300. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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LPL Financial predicts moderate S&P 500 growth by the end of 2026.

LPL Financial expects the S&P 500 to see modest gains in 2026, predicting it will close between 7,300 and 7,400, reflecting a rise of 7% to 8%. Growth will be driven by excitement around AI and the Federal Reserve easing monetary policy. One major factor boosting the bull market is increased investment in AI, which is projected to reach $520 billion in 2026. This growth in AI spending is likely to greatly enhance both the economy and corporate profits.

Wall Street’s Expectations

Wall Street predicts double-digit earnings growth for S&P 500 companies, especially from major tech firms. However, as earnings growth levels out, there may be a shift towards value stocks this year. Interest rate cuts from the Fed could also support stock market gains. Historically, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 13% after such rate-cut cycles. Risks to watch include potential AI challenges, pressures from interest rates, trade tensions, and geopolitical situations. LPL recommends sticking to current investment strategies while taking advantage of market pullbacks. The S&P 500 could reach 7,800 with strong gains from AI productivity, although it might drop to 6,200-6,300 if recession fears arise. The 2026 outlook suggests the bull market will persist, but growth will be more limited. Our target for the S&P 500 remains between 7,300 and 7,400, a modest increase from the current level of about 6,850. This points to strategies that benefit from a gradual rise, rather than a rapid increase. The excitement around artificial intelligence is still the strongest driver, with major tech companies anticipated to increase their capital spending by 30% to over $500 billion next year. Recent investor presentations have confirmed these plans, setting the stage for upcoming months. Therefore, keeping a long position in tech, possibly through NASDAQ 100 futures or call options on key AI companies, makes sense.

Federal Reserve’s Role

The Federal Reserve is expected to support growth through more monetary easing. Following the December 2025 meeting, indications suggest a rate-cutting cycle may start in the first half of 2026. We view this as a proactive step, not a reaction to a crisis. In the non-recessionary rate cuts of 2019, the S&P 500 saw significant gains the following year, reinforcing a positive outlook. However, with high valuations and the unpredictability of a midterm election year, caution is warranted. The VIX is currently low at around 14, making options premiums relatively cheap. This is an ideal time to consider buying protective puts or using collars to guard against potential market dips. In 2026, gains are likely to stem from earnings growth instead of a rise in earnings multiples. We are also anticipating shifts as we move through the year, with earnings growth disparities between the Magnificent Seven and the broader market expected to shrink. This could create chances for relative value trades, favoring sectors like communication services or undervalued healthcare over underweight real estate. Recent Q3 2025 earnings reports already hint at this shift, a trend we believe will pick up speed. In the coming weeks, the key strategy should be to buy on any market dips. There’s a 15% chance the market could fall to the 6,200-6,300 range due to recession concerns, which would create a strong buying opportunity. Traders might consider selling cash-secured puts at these lower levels to earn income while waiting for the market to pull back. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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AAL’s strong trend since April indicates a retracement opportunity, with a target around $16.8.

American Airlines (AAL) has shown strong upward movement since the low on April 4. A 100% Fibonacci extension points to a target price of $16.8. This positive trend is supported by an Elliott Wave zigzag pattern hanging from the low on September 30. From that low, wave A peaked at 14.05, then wave B pulled back to 12.11. Currently, wave C is advancing in a sharp Elliott Wave pattern. Within this, wave (i) ended at 12.65, while wave (ii) dropped to 12.15. Wave (iii) rose to 14.11 before wave (iv) pulled back to 13.56. Wave (v) is about to finish, marking the end of wave ((i)). A corrective wave ((ii)) is expected next, focusing on the trend since the projected low on November 18, 2025. As long as the pivot at 12.11 holds, any pullbacks should find support within swing structures at 3, 7, or 11. This technical outlook suggests that further upward movement is likely. American Airlines (AAL) appears bullish, showing an upward trend that began earlier this year in April. Analysts suggest a target price of $16.8, indicating any upcoming pullbacks are likely to be temporary dips in a larger upward movement. This strength is also backed by recent industry reports, which show a notable rise in holiday travel demand. In the first week of December 2025, TSA passenger numbers rose by 6% compared to last year, exceeding earlier predictions. Additionally, jet fuel prices have dropped over 10% since their peak in October 2025, reducing cost pressures and improving profit potential for the airline this quarter. Traders looking to take advantage of this upward trend can buy February 2026 call options with strike prices of $15 or $16. This strategy provides potentially higher returns if the stock continues to rise as expected, while also allowing time for the current impulse wave to complete. A more cautious approach would be to sell out-of-the-money put credit spreads based on recent price trends. For example, selling a January 2026 $13 put while purchasing a $12.50 put for protection could generate income. This trade remains profitable as long as AAL stays above the short strike price by expiration. We should prepare for a corrective pullback, wave ((ii)), following the current upward movement. This pullback could offer a better entry point for long-term bullish positions. Short-term traders might consider taking profits on initial positions and then re-entering during the dip. All bullish strategies should monitor the November low of $12.11 as a key risk management point. If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the immediate bullish outlook, signaling a need to cut losses on any long positions.

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Dividend Adjustment Notice – Dec 10 ,2025

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

Dividend Adjustment Notice

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

Gold prices in Saudi Arabia have declined, according to recent market data.

On Wednesday, gold prices in Saudi Arabia dropped, as reported by FXStreet. The price per gram fell to 507.58 Saudi Riyals (SAR), down from 508.19 SAR the day before. Similarly, the price per tola decreased to 5,920.27 SAR, down from 5,927.44 SAR. FXStreet calculates gold prices by converting global prices (USD/SAR) to the local currency. They update prices daily, but minor differences may occur in local markets. Gold is historically valuable because it acts as a store of value. Central banks hold significant amounts, adding 1,136 tonnes of gold worth about $70 billion to their reserves in 2022. This is the largest annual purchase on record, with countries like China, India, and Turkey rapidly increasing their reserves for economic stability and currency support. Gold prices move opposite to the US Dollar and US Treasuries since both are considered safe assets. Gold does not yield interest, so its price goes up when interest rates fall and the USD weakens. Geopolitical issues can also cause gold prices to rise quickly, as many turn to it for safety. Currently, gold prices are stabilizing just below recent highs. This is typical as traders wait for a big economic event. Today, December 10th, everyone is focused on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and future guidance, which will likely influence gold prices for the rest of the year. The market has nearly priced in a 25 basis point rate cut due to a mild global slowdown in 2025 and recent US inflation data. The Consumer Price Index for November was 2.8%, still above the Fed’s target but showing improvement. Lower interest rates usually boost gold since they reduce the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. This expectation has weakened the US Dollar, which moves opposite to gold. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has decreased from about 105 to 102.5 in the past month as traders anticipated this change. A dovish statement from the Fed chairman could push the dollar down further, benefiting gold prices. Looking beyond the Fed’s announcement, the support for gold remains strong. Central banks keep buying, with data from the World Gold Council showing that they added over 250 tonnes to their reserves in the third quarter of 2025. This consistent trend offers a solid foundation for the market. There is also notable strength across all precious metals. Silver recently surged past $60, reaching a new record high, which shows strong bullish sentiment. This momentum in a related asset typically helps support gold. For derivative traders, this means high implied volatility is likely around the announcement. A dovish statement could trigger a rapid price increase, making long call options an attractive strategy. On the other hand, if the Fed surprises with a hawkish tone, prices could fall, creating opportunities for those holding put options. Finally, we should keep in mind the ongoing low-level geopolitical tensions affecting the global stage. This situation consistently increases the safe-haven demand for gold. Any unexpected rise in global conflicts could serve as a powerful catalyst for a price increase.

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Recent data shows a decline in gold prices in the Philippines.

Gold prices in the Philippines dropped on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data. The price of gold was 8,016.88 Philippine Pesos (PHP) per gram, down from Tuesday’s 8,027.73 PHP. The tola price fell to 93,507.27 PHP from 93,633.86 PHP. For other units, 10 grams cost 80,168.75 PHP, and a troy ounce was priced at 249,352.90 PHP.

Gold Prices Calculation

FXStreet calculates gold prices in the Philippines by converting international prices into local currency using current market rates. These prices serve as a guide and may vary slightly from local rates. Gold is a valuable investment because it has historically served as a store of value and a safe-haven asset. It protects against inflation and isn’t dependent on government backing. Central banks hold significant amounts of gold to enhance economic stability. In 2022, they bought 1,136 tonnes of gold, worth about $70 billion. Countries like China, India, and Turkey are increasing their gold reserves. Gold prices are affected by geopolitical instability, interest rate changes, and fluctuations in the USD. Typically, a weaker dollar leads to higher gold prices.

Investment Strategies

Today’s slight dip in gold prices may seem minor, but for derivative traders, this short-term fluctuation is less important than the overall economic trend. The key focus should be on macroeconomic factors that could drive price volatility in the weeks ahead. Since gold does not yield income, its price is greatly affected by interest rate expectations. The Federal Reserve’s November 2025 guidance suggested possible rate cuts in early 2026, marking a shift from the aggressive tightening seen until 2024. This outlook supports strategies that benefit from rising gold prices, like buying call options or bull call spreads. Gold’s traditional role as a hedge against inflation remains particularly relevant. Recent CPI reports show core inflation stubbornly around 3.1%, causing concerns about wealth preservation. Ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding key trade negotiations also boost gold’s status as a safe-haven asset. We can’t overlook the consistent demand from central banks, especially after record-breaking purchases in 2022. Reports from the World Gold Council for the third quarter of 2025 indicated that emerging market central banks added another 250 tonnes to their reserves. This steady buying helps support gold prices, especially as the US Dollar Index struggles to trend upwards. With signals pointing to a possible economic slowdown alongside persistent inflation, we expect more price fluctuations. Traders might consider strategies like long straddles or strangles, which can profit from significant price changes in either direction. This allows for gains from a breakout without needing to predict its exact timing. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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Gold prices decrease today in the United Arab Emirates, according to recent data

**Gold Prices in the UAE** Gold has always been valued as a safe-haven asset, especially in times of uncertainty. It acts as a protection against inflation and currency loss, since it does not depend on any government or issuer. Central banks hold the most gold, using it to diversify their reserves during turbulent times. In 2022, they bought a total of 1,136 tonnes, worth $70 billion, with countries like China, India, and Turkey increasing their gold reserves. Gold prices usually move in the opposite direction of the US Dollar and US Treasuries. When the Dollar weakens, gold prices tend to go up; conversely, when the stock market is doing well, gold prices often drop. Geopolitical tensions can also drive gold prices higher due to its safe-haven reputation. Interest rates influence gold as well; lower rates generally push prices up, while higher rates can cause prices to fall. The strength of the US Dollar is vital in determining gold prices. **Strategic Positioning in the Gold Market** On December 10, 2025, gold prices are showing a slight dip, which might seem minor compared to the larger trends. In the current economic climate, this small decline presents a chance for smart investments. It’s more about the market direction over the next few weeks than daily price changes. A key factor for this outlook is the changing view on interest rates. Inflation data from November 2025 in the U.S. was slightly lower than expected at 3.1%. This has led to speculation that the Federal Reserve may start cutting rates in the first half of 2026. Since gold doesn’t earn interest, its value typically increases when interest rates are predicted to drop. This expectation is affecting the US Dollar, which is inversely related to gold. The Dollar Index (DXY) has recently fallen below 99, as the market anticipates a more lenient Federal Reserve approach. A weaker dollar makes gold less expensive for international buyers, often increasing demand. We should also note the ongoing strong demand from central banks, a trend that started with record purchases in 2022. In the third quarter of 2025, central banks, especially in developing economies, added another 250 tonnes to their reserves. This trend supports a solid foundational price for gold. Growing volatility in stock markets, linked to predictions of slower global growth for 2026, enhances gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven investment. In recent market declines, we’ve seen investors move away from riskier assets, which favors precious metals. This cautious approach is likely to continue amid ongoing economic uncertainty. For those trading derivatives, this slight drop in gold prices could be a chance to make long-term investments. Buying call options on major gold ETFs or futures contracts set to expire in February or March 2026 can allow traders to profit from potential price increases driven by these broader economic trends. This strategy offers potential gains while keeping downside risk limited to the price of the options. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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Gold prices decline today in Pakistan, according to compiled data.

Gold As A Safe-Haven Asset

Gold prices in Pakistan fell on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data. The price per gram dropped from 38,025.33 PKR to 37,983.13 PKR. Here are the current gold prices in Pakistan for different amounts: – **10 grams:** 379,831.30 PKR – **1 tola:** 443,027.80 PKR – **1 Troy Ounce:** 1,181,414.00 PKR FXStreet calculates these prices by converting international rates and updating them daily. Gold is often viewed as a safe-haven investment, especially during economic difficulties. It helps protect against inflation and currency decline because it is not tied to a specific issuer or government. Central banks are significant buyers. In 2022, they added a record 1,136 tonnes to their reserves, increasing their holdings. Countries like China, India, and Turkey are boosting their gold reserves. Gold prices often move opposite to the US Dollar and US Treasuries. Various factors like geopolitical issues, interest rates, and the strength of the US Dollar can affect its price. Generally, a weaker Dollar raises gold’s value, while a strong Dollar stabilizes its price.

Market Strategy And Outlook

The slight drop in gold prices today in Pakistan doesn’t indicate a long-term trend. We, as traders, focus more on the fundamentals that support gold rather than daily fluctuations. This small decrease may just be a period of consolidation before another significant price move. In the coming weeks, the market will be watching central bank policies for 2026. After a series of interest rate hikes in 2023 and 2024, the US Federal Reserve has paused for an extended time, affecting the US Dollar. A weaker Dollar typically gives gold a boost, and we expect this trend to continue. We must also take into account the strong demand from central banks, which has established a solid price floor for gold. They bought a record 1,082 tonnes in 2022 and followed up with over 1,000 tonnes in both 2023 and 2024. This consistent demand reflects a strategic shift away from the Dollar and continues to support the market. Gold’s status as a safe-haven asset is especially important now due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the effects of past economic slowdowns. Increased global uncertainty tends to lift gold’s value since it usually moves oppositely to riskier assets like stocks. Therefore, minor price drops should be seen as chances to prepare for future volatility. Given the current environment, the recent price decline looks like a good opportunity for bullish positions. We suggest buying call options that expire in the first quarter of 2026 to take advantage of possible price increases. This approach allows us to benefit from a weaker Dollar or any rapid flight to safety while managing our maximum risk. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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Gold prices have declined in India, according to the latest market information.

Gold prices in India dropped on Wednesday, according to FXStreet. The price per gram fell to 12,151.03 INR from 12,166.41 INR on Tuesday. The price per tola dropped from 141,906.60 INR to 141,727.50 INR. A troy ounce was priced at 377,937.70 INR. These prices reflect adjustments based on international rates converted to local currency. Gold is considered a safe investment during uncertain times. It acts as a shield against inflation and currency depreciation, providing investors with security. Central banks hold the largest gold reserves to help support their economies. In 2022, they added 1,136 tonnes of gold, worth $70 billion, setting a record. Gold prices often move opposite to the US Dollar and US Treasuries. Typically, gold rises when the Dollar falls and decreases when the Dollar strengthens. Several factors affect gold prices, including geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty. Lower interest rates can push prices higher, while higher rates can pull them down. Generally, gold’s value moves against the strength of the US Dollar. Today, December 10, 2025, gold prices experienced a slight drop. This small pullback may be a sign of consolidation before the next price movement. It could also be a good entry point for traders preparing for the upcoming new year. The market seems to be adjusting to recent gains while it decides its next steps. We are closely monitoring the U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent indications that it will keep interest rates steady into early 2026. November’s inflation data showed the U.S. CPI remaining at 2.8%, supporting the idea that the rate hikes that started in 2022 are over. In this environment, holding cash and bonds becomes less appealing, making gold, a non-yielding asset, more attractive. Geopolitical issues are also boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal. Ongoing trade talks between the U.S. and the Pan-Asian trade bloc are creating uncertainty, which typically leads to a flight to safety. Similar tensions in 2019 caused a significant rise in gold prices, as traders sought to protect against global instability. Continued physical demand from central banks is providing a solid price floor. The World Gold Council’s latest report for Q3 2025 revealed that central banks bought another 220 tonnes, continuing a strong buying trend that has lasted for several years. This ongoing demand helps absorb selling pressure and limits downward price movement. The connection with the U.S. Dollar is also important right now. The Dollar Index (DXY) recently hit a six-month low of about 101.5, and further weakness is anticipated as markets adjust to a more neutral Fed policy. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, likely boosting demand. In the coming weeks, we suggest traders explore strategies that could benefit from potential price increases and volatility. Options like buying call options or setting up bull call spreads can provide exposure to upward pricing while managing risk. This strategy allows traders to take advantage of a potential year-end rally fueled by favorable macroeconomic conditions.

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EUR/USD pair stays steady around 1.1625 as the market waits for the Fed’s interest rate decision

The EUR/USD pair is stable around 1.1625 as traders wait for the US Federal Reserve’s decision on a likely 25 basis points rate cut. This cut would bring interest rates to their lowest level in nearly three years. In October, US job openings jumped to 7.67 million, beating expectations and boosting the US Dollar. The European Central Bank (ECB) is halting its rate-cutting cycle, with President Lagarde stating the Eurozone economy is stable and inflation is close to the target.

The Euro’s Global Influence

The Euro is used by 20 EU countries and is the second most traded currency after the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of global forex transactions, with a daily turnover of $2.2 trillion. The European Central Bank oversees the Euro’s monetary policy, focusing on price stability. If Eurozone inflation exceeds 2%, the ECB might adjust interest rates. Key economic factors like GDP and employment rates also impact the Euro’s value. A strong Trade Balance boosts the Euro, as it indicates demand for exports, enhancing currency value. The economic situations in Germany, France, Italy, and Spain heavily influence the Eurozone’s overall economy. As the EUR/USD pair holds steady around 1.1625, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later today. The expected 25 basis point cut seems almost certain, with the CME FedWatch Tool indicating a 92% market probability. The key to market movement will be Chairman Powell’s guidance for 2026.

Market Reactions to Fed Decisions

The underlying strength of the US economy is creating uncertainty about future rate cuts. Last week’s Consumer Price Index report for November came in slightly higher at 3.3%, and the latest JOLTS report showed an unexpected rise in job openings. This persistent inflation suggests the Fed may indicate a more hawkish stance for 2026, which could be bullish for the dollar. Conversely, the European Central Bank appears content to pause its own rate cuts, which may help stabilize the Euro. President Lagarde’s confidence is backed by November’s preliminary Eurozone inflation estimate of 2.3%, moving towards the 2% target. This difference in policy, with the US cutting rates and Europe holding steady, may limit the Euro’s decline against the dollar. Reflecting on the aggressive rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, the Fed is now carefully unwinding that tightening. Before today’s announcement, one-week implied volatility for EUR/USD reached a three-month high, indicating anticipation for a significant price movement. This suggests that strategies aiming for sharp price shifts, rather than a specific direction, could be advantageous in the coming days. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.

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