Gold prices increase in Malaysia today, according to official data.
WTI rises to about $62.65 during Asian trading hours amid US production concerns
EIA Report’s Potential Impact
The EIA’s crude oil stockpile report, expected later today, could influence prices based on the inventory levels reported. If stockpiles decrease, it suggests strong demand, which may drive prices up. Conversely, an increase in stockpiles might indicate weak demand, leading to lower prices. WTI Oil is a high-quality crude oil mainly produced in the United States. Its price is affected by supply and demand, geopolitical issues, and the value of the US dollar. Weekly oil inventory reports from the API and EIA are closely monitored, with the EIA considered more reliable. OPEC’s choices on production can also significantly sway WTI prices, changing global supply levels.Weather-Related Volatility
West Texas Intermediate is holding near $62.65 as we evaluate the effects of the US winter storm. The extreme weather has impacted production, with recent estimates indicating over 700,000 barrels per day were offline in Texas and North Dakota. This supply shock raises the risk of price increases, making short-term call options appealing. We will be watching the EIA stockpile report released later today for signs of tightening supply. If there is a larger-than-expected drop in crude inventories, it will support the bullish outlook and may push WTI towards higher resistance levels. This report is critical for this week, as it will influence short-term price movements. Since weather disruptions are temporary, we expect increased volatility in the upcoming weeks. Traders might use options to navigate this uncertainty as the market balances short-term supply losses against the overall economic picture. This scenario favors tactical trades rather than long-term bets. In addition to the storm, rising geopolitical tensions are bolstering the market. Shipping risks in the Red Sea, where traffic through the Suez Canal dropped by over 40% in late 2025 compared to the previous year, provide price support. These issues limit potential declines, even when US production rebounds from the freeze. However, we also need to think about demand. Recent manufacturing data from China was slightly below expectations, and the latest US inflation report indicated core inflation remains steady at 2.9%. These factors could dampen any significant price increases, suggesting that global demand may not be strong enough to maintain higher prices. As seen with similar weather events in previous years, price spikes can reverse once production normalizes. However, with OPEC+ committed to production cuts through the first quarter of 2026, the overall supply remains tight. This commitment magnifies the effects of any unexpected outages like the current one. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.US Dollar Index (DXY) rises to 96.00 after recent declines amid repositioning
Impact of the Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates steady, but all eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell for hints about future moves. Many in the market anticipate more rate cuts in 2026, which could influence the dollar’s value. Concerns about the Fed’s independence and possible actions from President Trump may also restrict the dollar’s strength. We are observing some adjustments in the US Dollar Index as the Fed decision approaches, bringing it back to the 96.00 mark. This appears to be short-covering, not a significant change in sentiment, as the overall outlook remains negative. Derivative traders might see this increase as a chance to set up new short positions at better levels. The market is eager for signs of at least two more rate cuts this year, supported by recent economic data. The December 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report indicated that inflation has cooled to 2.8%, giving the Federal Reserve room to lower policies further. The CME FedWatch Tool shows a greater than 70% probability of a rate cut by the March meeting, indicating ongoing pressure on the dollar. Political uncertainty adds more risk, which could limit any significant rallies for the dollar. Concerns about the Federal Reserve’s autonomy and recent hints from the administration about restarting trade tariff talks with the European Union are dampening market sentiment. This can shift investments towards safer options like the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc, skipping the dollar.Planning Currency Strategies
With potential for increased volatility after the Fed announcement and ongoing political events, buying put options on USD-related pairs like USD/JPY may be a wise move. This strategy helps traders benefit from a fall in the dollar while clearly defining their maximum risk. Consider options that expire after the March FOMC meeting to take advantage of the anticipated first rate cut. The dollar is showing general weakness against major currencies, especially the Euro and Japanese Yen. Traders might think about selling DXY futures contracts if the index struggles to stay above 96.00 after the Fed’s announcement. Another approach is to consider currency pairs that exclude the dollar, such as going long on EUR/JPY, which could help benefit from overall market trends while avoiding the risks tied to US events. This situation mirrors what we saw in late 2020 and early 2021, when a very supportive Fed policy led to a prolonged period of dollar decline. Last week’s technical drop below the important 97.00 support level strengthens this negative outlook. Historical trends suggest that the dollar’s path likely leans downward in the coming weeks. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.S&P 500 reaches all-time high, confirming bullish momentum and potential for further gains
Wave Pattern Analysis
The first wave, ((i)), ended at 6986.33, marking the start of the upward trend. Wave ((ii)) formed a zigzag pattern and concluded at 6788.03, indicating a significant level of completion. Next, wave ((iii)) took the index higher, reaching 6988.82 after several ups and downs. While we expect some short-term corrections, the overall trend remains positive as long as the index stays above 6788.03. Market resistance appears weak, with buyers likely to step in during corrections, typically in three, seven, or eleven swings. This shows that the market remains strong. The article also covers other financial assets, such as gold, which is performing well ahead of Federal Reserve decisions. Additionally, it examines currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD, as well as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin Cash and Avalanche. There is also advice on selecting brokers and trading strategies for 2026, addressing various needs from low spreads to high leverage in different market segments.Market Trends And Opportunities
The S&P 500 achieving an all-time high confirms the bullish trend that started in November 2025. This upward movement is backed by positive economic data, like the recent report showing a solid 2.5% annualized growth in Q4 2025 GDP. This suggests that the upward momentum is well-supported. We anticipate a brief pullback in the current rally before hitting new highs, completing a short-term wave structure. For derivative traders, this dip provides a chance to start or increase bullish positions, such as buying call options or selling cash-secured puts. With the VIX currently around 13.5, option premiums are not excessively high, enhancing the appeal of these strategies. A key level to monitor is 6788.03; as long as the index remains above this mark, any pullbacks should be seen as temporary corrections. This strong market structure is further supported by easing inflation, with the December 2025 CPI at 2.8%, reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve. As a result, market expectations, indicated by the CME FedWatch Tool, show over a 90% likelihood that the Fed will maintain current interest rates at its next meeting. Historically, we have seen similar strong uptrends, such as in 2023, where momentum sustained the market even amid concerns about valuations. The current rally is also validated by a robust earnings season, with major tech and growth stocks exceeding revenue forecasts for the last quarter of 2025. This trend suggests that buyers will likely continue to appear during any market dips as they seek to benefit from ongoing growth. Create your live VT Markets account and start trading now.Dividend Adjustment Notice – Jan 28 ,2026
Dear Client,
Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume”.
Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.
If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].