Focus shifts to June 17 FOMC: new leadership turns neutral-to-hawkish, dot plot drops cuts, maybe adds hikes.
ECB hikes deposit rate to 2.25% with hawkish tone; inflation forecasts rise, markets price further September tightening.
BNY’s Savage: iFlow shows institutional cash falling amid high valuations, issuance; policy expectations, not inflation, drive volatility.
EUR/USD holds 1.15–1.16 as dollar underperforms fundamentals; buy September calls targeting 1.10 over 1.07.
Deutsche Bank expects BoE to hold rates, warns inflation risks; traders may profit from higher-for-longer policy.
Dollar slips as risk appetite returns on US-Iran peace talk hopes; DXY near 99.60, targeting 97.50.
Commerzbank warns kiwi pressured by Iran conflict, high energy, weak growth; expects fewer hikes, NZD/USD 0.55.
UK inflation expectations rise to 3.5%, hawkish for BoE; August cut odds drop, boosting GBP, pressuring equities.
Nomura warns crowded dollar longs and high Surprise Index levels often precede G10 dollar weakness soon.
US-Iran deal hopes lift euro, EUR/USD nears 1.1600; ECB cautious, energy relief keeps pair rangebound.
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