Live Updates

    21 February 2026
    MUFG’s Lloyd Chan says BI maintains 2026 forecasts; inflation risks could weaken the rupiah if overheating is tolerated

    Indonesia’s inflation just breached target, bond auction demand is weakening, and yields may rise. That combo threatens the rupiah: USD/IDR could climb despite modest SRBI inflows, tightening Bank Indonesia’s options. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    With PCE inflation rising and GDP weakening, the US dollar stayed firm as the DXY rose nearly 1%

    Markets brace for a volatility breakout: hot 3% core PCE clashes with weak 1.4% GDP, stalling DXY near 97.80. Watch options, EUR/GBP, gold, yen, and key data. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    US CFTC gold non-commercial net positions slipped marginally, easing from 160k to 159.9k

    Gold speculators just stopped moving: CFTC net longs barely dipped from 160K to 159.9K. With inflation sticky and jobs strong, traders await Fed signals—calm positioning could precede volatility. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    US CFTC oil non-commercial net positions rose to 141.3K from 117.8K

    Big oil bulls are back: CFTC net-long crude bets jumped to 141.3K from 117.8K. With OPEC+ cuts and falling U.S. inventories, traders eye calls and 5–10% upside. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    Australian CFTC data shows AUD non-commercial net positions rose to 45.9K from 33.2K previously

    Speculators are piling into the Aussie dollar: net longs surged to 45.9K from 33.2K. Steady RBA rates, softer Fed outlook, and strong iron ore support AUD—watch inflation and risk swings. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    Eurozone CFTC data show euro non-commercial net positions fell to 174.5K from 180.3K

    Euro bulls are backing off: CFTC net longs fell to €174.5K from €180.3K as PMI weakens and US inflation stays hot. Consider EUR/USD puts or call spreads ahead. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    Japan’s CFTC non-commercial yen net positions rose to ¥13K, reversing from ¥-19.1K previously

    Yen sentiment just flipped hard: CFTC specs went from ¥19.1K net short to ¥13K net long. BOJ hints and hot inflation drive yen strength, pushing USD/JPY lower. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    UK CFTC report: GBP non-commercial net positions fell to -42.4K from -25.8K

    Speculators just ramped up bearish GBP bets: CFTC net shorts widened to -42.4K. UK recession and easing inflation boost BoE cut odds, while strong US jobs support USD, pressuring GBP. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    CFTC report shows S&P 500 non-commercial net positions fell to -177.8K from -105.1K

    Big speculators just ramped up S&P 500 shorts: net positions fell from -105.1K to -177.8K (-72.7K). Bears expect more downside, but extreme negativity could spark a sharp short-squeeze reversal. – vtmarketsmy.com

    21 February 2026
    UOB expects Thailand’s central bank to make a final 25-basis-point cut as growth slows and inflation remains subdued

    Thailand faces weak growth and near-zero inflation. Markets expect the Bank of Thailand to cut rates to 1.00% on Feb 25, pressuring the baht and shifting traders from direction to stability. – vtmarketsmy.com

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