The People’s Bank of China establishes the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1740, below the estimate.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Feb 27, 2025

    The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) manages the yuan’s daily midpoint, adhering to a floating exchange rate system. The yuan’s value can fluctuate within a range of +/- 2% around this reference rate.

    The previous close for the yuan was 7.2580. Recently, the PBOC injected 215 billion yuan through a 7-day reverse repurchase agreement, setting the rate at 1.5%.

    Additionally, 125 billion yuan is maturing today, resulting in a net injection of 90 billion yuan into the economy.

    Authorities have opted to increase short-term liquidity, suggesting an effort to ensure ample cash flow in the financial system. The net injection of 90 billion yuan indicates that more funds have been made available than withdrawn, likely with the goal of maintaining stability as broader economic conditions develop. With the reverse repurchase rate holding steady at 1.5%, policymakers appear to be reinforcing their stance without making abrupt adjustments.

    Meanwhile, the yuan’s previous close at 7.2580 places it near recent trading levels, meaning there have been no immediate signs of heavy intervention or unexpected volatility. The daily midpoint mechanism remains in place, allowing fluctuations within the ±2% band. If movements approach either extreme, traders will be watching closely for signals on whether authorities choose to step in.

    Liquidity injections of this scale often reflect short-term needs rather than long-term shifts. The decision to introduce additional cash into the system could be in response to seasonal demand, upcoming bond settlements, or broader policy adjustments. As a result, it will be necessary to observe upcoming liquidity operations and any changes in guidance from policymakers.

    Beyond immediate funding conditions, external factors such as global rate policies and trade dynamics remain in the background. These can influence sentiment and potentially affect how local conditions unfold. While monetary authorities have provided some clarity through recent actions, traders must remain aware of potential fluctuations stemming from external pressures.

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