Dividend Adjustment Notice – September 8, 2023

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

King of the Hill Trading Contest by VT Markets Sees Global Participation, Awarding Winners Over US$90,000

Sydney, Australia, 6 September 2023 – VT Markets, a premier online trading platform, successfully concluded its annual King of the Hill Trading Contest, which brought together hundreds of traders from around the world. The contest proved to be an exciting showcase of trading prowess, collectively it has gotten an impressive sum of over US$2 million between May and July 2023.

The contenders squared off in a gripping trading competition where each eyed the opportunity to have their share of over US$90,000 cash prize, along with a coveted spot-on VT Markets’ Wall of Fame. VT Markets’ worldwide reach shone brightly. All regions demonstrated their mettle, generating hundreds of thousands of dollars each. The success of each region in the competition speaks volumes about the flourishing global presence of VT Markets.

A representative from VT Markets expressed delight at the overwhelming popularity of the contest, stating, “With the conclusion of King of the Hill 2023, we are thrilled to have witnessed the exceptional skill and dedication displayed by all the participants. The resounding success of this event cannot be underestimated, and VT Markets is eagerly looking forward to bringing even more exciting opportunities in the near future.”

VT Markets is already gearing up for another edition of the King of the Hill Trading Contest, with details to be announced in due course. As an industry leader in the trading industry, VT Markets aims to build upon the previous event’s triumph and attract an even broader array of traders seeking the coveted title of King of the Hill.

About VT Markets:

VT Markets is a global multi-asset broker, providing access to a wide range of financial markets for traders and investors worldwide. With a strong commitment to innovation, technology, and client satisfaction, VT Markets offers competitive trading conditions, advanced trading platforms, and a comprehensive suite of educational resources.

For more information, please visit the official VT Markets website or email us at [email protected]. Alternatively, follow VT Markets on Meta, Instagram, or LinkedIn.

For media enquiries and sponsorship opportunities, please email [email protected]

Market Declines Amid Fed Rate Hike Concerns and Tech Sector Woes

The Nasdaq Composite extended its four-day decline on concerns of future Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, leading to a 0.89% drop, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.32%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.17%. Apple’s shares fell 2.9% due to reports of potential iPhone bans in Chinese state-owned entities, contributing to the tech sector’s woes. Strong economic data, such as lower-than-expected jobless claims and rising labor costs, raised concerns of a sustained tight monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, potentially leading to further rate hikes despite expectations of a pause in September. In currency markets, the US dollar gained, driven partly by unexpected declines in jobless claims, while concerns about data distortions, global trade tensions, and potential interventions weighed on sentiment.

Stock Market Updates

The Nasdaq Composite experienced its fourth consecutive decline due to concerns regarding the Federal Reserve’s potential interest rate hikes later this year. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell by 0.89%, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.32%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.17%. Investors were anticipating a pause in the Fed’s rate hikes for the rest of the year but are now worried about the possibility of one or two more increases. Additionally, Apple shares dropped by 2.9% amid reports that China might expand its ban on iPhones in state-owned entities. This decline in technology and semiconductor stocks contributed to the market’s negative sentiment.

Furthermore, strong economic data, including lower-than-expected jobless claims and higher labor costs, raised concerns that the Federal Reserve might maintain its tight monetary policy stance. The robust job market, combined with rising energy prices, could lead to further rate hikes by the Fed, despite expectations of a rate pause in September. Traders are closely monitoring corporate earnings reports, with C3.ai experiencing a 12.2% decline due to weak guidance. Overall, uncertainties about the Fed’s interest rate policy and global trade tensions have weighed on the market’s performance.

Data by Bloomberg

On Thursday, the overall market saw a slight decline of 0.32%. Among the sectors, Utilities and Real Estate experienced gains of 1.26% and 0.71%, respectively, indicating relative strength. Consumer Discretionary and Health Care also showed modest increases of 0.50% and 0.47%, while Consumer Staples and Communication Services posted smaller gains of 0.34% and 0.11%. On the other hand, Information Technology recorded a notable decline of 1.57%, leading the negative performance, followed by Materials (-0.44%), Energy (-0.22%), Financials (-0.20%), Industrials (-0.32%), and All Sectors (-0.32%). These sector-specific movements reflect the varied performance across different segments of the market on that particular day.

Currency Market Updates

The US dollar saw some gains on Thursday, partly due to an unexpected drop in US jobless claims. However, these gains were tempered by concerns about data distortions resulting from the Labor Day holiday. Furthermore, the effects of a significant influx of corporate bond market supply this month seemed to have moderated. The EUR/USD pair fell by 0.29%, although it had recovered slightly from its low earlier in the week.

The Japanese yen weakened against the US dollar amid falling Treasury yields, while the threat of Japanese intervention to support the yen added to the pressure. Sterling also experienced a decline of 0.27% but managed to bounce back from its low. Concerns about China’s economy and trade tensions with Western nations were heightened, especially following reports of restrictions on iPhone use by government staff. Looking ahead, market participants are closely watching upcoming events such as Japanese economic data, Canada’s jobs report, US CPI data, and the ECB meeting, which are expected to be significant drivers of market sentiment in the near term.

Picks of the Day Analysis
EUR/USD (4 Hours)

EUR/USD Hits Three-Month Low Amid Gloomy Eurozone Data and Strong US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair continued its decline, marking its lowest daily close in three months, hovering near the 1.0700 level. The prevailing bias remains bearish as the Euro remains vulnerable in the face of a resilient US Dollar. Strong economic data from the United States provided support to the Greenback, which was further buoyed by cautious market sentiment.

In contrast to the US, economic indicators from the Eurozone painted a less optimistic picture. The second-quarter employment change in the Eurozone remained unchanged at 0.2%, while GDP growth was revised down from 0.3% to 0.1%. Germany’s Industrial Production data for July showed a larger-than-expected decline of 0.8%. These economic disparities between the Eurozone and the US have heightened concerns about the EUR/USD pair, with worries about economic stagnation in the Eurozone contrasting with the relatively stronger US economy. Notably, US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 216K, below market expectations of 234K for the week ending September 1, and Unit Labor Costs for the second quarter were revised higher from 1.6% to 2.2%. This data initially boosted US Treasury yields, supporting the US Dollar, although later in the session, the dollar’s gains were limited as Treasury yields reversed sharply.

Chart EURUSD by TradingView

According to technical analysis, the EUR/USD moved slightly lower on Thursday and is currently trading just below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. This movement suggests the possibility of a slight upward movement to reach the middle band. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 38, indicating that the EUR/USD is trending lower and attempting to maintain a bearish trend.

Resistance: 1.0759, 1.0803

Support: 1.0702, 1.0653

XAU/USD (4 Hours)

XAU/USD Consolidates as Strong US Dollar Gains Momentum Amid Upbeat Economic Data

XAU/USD is in consolidation mode after experiencing weekly losses and is currently trading around the $1,920 mark during the American trading session. The US Dollar continues to assert its dominance against most major currencies, driven by positive United States (US) economic data and the possibility of another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike.

Gold prices initially rebounded from an early low near $1,916 as US Treasury yields retreated from their earlier highs. However, the Greenback’s decline was limited due to robust US employment-related data. Meanwhile, global stock markets have been reflecting a cautious sentiment, with many major indexes trading in negative territory.

In the latest economic releases, the US reported Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending September 1, which came in at 216K, significantly better than the expected 234K. Additionally, the country published Q2 Nonfarm Productivity, showing a growth of 3.5%, slightly below the anticipated 3.8%, and Unit Labor Costs for the same period, which increased by 2.2%, surpassing expectations. These data points indicate stronger-than-expected economic growth in the US, setting it apart from the economic challenges faced by other major economies. Consequently, the US Dollar is strengthening further in a risk-averse market environment.

Chart XAUUSD by TradingView

According to technical analysis, XAU/USD remained flat on Thursday, oscillating between the lower and middle bands of the Bollinger Bands. At present, the price is showing a slight upward movement and is approaching the middle band, suggesting the potential for a modest increase in Gold’s value. However, it is important to note that the market still maintains a bearish bias. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 45, indicating that the XAU/USD pair is still in a bearish mode but making an effort to shift back into a neutral zone.

Resistance: $1,925, $1,935

Support: $1,912, $1,903

Economic Data
CurrencyDataTime (GMT + 8)Forecast
CADEmployment Change20:3018.9K
CADUnemployment Rate20:305.6%

Exploring Forex Chart Types: A Trader’s Perspective, Part 1

Picture this: you’re standing on the bustling floor of a stock exchange, surrounded by traders frantically waving their arms, shouting buy and sell orders. The numbers on the screens are changing rapidly, and the stakes are high. 

source: Financial Times

In the world of Forex trading, you may not be physically present on a trading floor, but you are part of a global financial arena where billions of dollars change hands every day, all from the comfort of your own computer. To thrive in this dynamic world, you need a powerful tool – Forex charts

Just as a skilled trader uses charts to decipher market movements amidst the chaos of a trading floor, Forex traders rely on various types of charts to navigate the ever-shifting currency markets. These charts are your compass, helping you make sense of price fluctuations and guiding you toward profitable decisions. 

In this guide, we’ll demystify the world of Forex charts, ensuring you’re well-prepared to embark on your trading journey. 

What Are Forex Charts? 

Forex charts are visual representations of the price movements of currency pairs in the foreign exchange market. They are a trader’s primary tool for analysing and understanding market dynamics. These charts display historical price data, and by examining this data, traders can make informed decisions about when to buy or sell currencies. 

source: tradingview.com

Forex charts act as a historical record of a currency pair’s performance, showing how its value has changed over time. Think of them as the equivalent of a weather map for traders, helping you anticipate market conditions and plan your trading strategies. 

Why Are Charts Essential? 

The importance of Forex charts cannot be overstated, especially for beginners. Here’s why they are absolutely essential in your trading journey: 

  • Price Analysis: Charts allow you to analyse the past price movements of currency pairs. By examining these historical patterns, you can identify trends and potential opportunities. 
  • Timing: Forex charts help you determine the right time to enter or exit a trade. They provide insights into when a currency pair might be overbought (good for selling) or oversold (good for buying). 
  • Risk Management: Charts enable you to set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage your risk. This helps protect your trading capital and ensures you don’t incur significant losses. 
  • Decision-Making: Without charts, you’d be trading blindfolded. Charts give you the data and insights needed to make informed decisions, reducing the element of guesswork. 
  • Strategy Development: Traders use charts to develop and refine trading strategies. Whether you’re a day trader or a long-term investor, charts provide the foundation for your trading plan. 
  • Psychological Support: Seeing the data represented graphically can help you stay calm and stick to your trading plan, reducing emotional decision-making. 

Different Types of Forex Charts 

Forex charts come in various formats, and each type offers a unique perspective on the market. Here’s a closer look at the three main types

  • Line Charts: These charts connect the closing prices of currency pairs over time with a continuous line. Line charts are simple and offer a broad overview of trends. 
  • Bar Charts (OHLC): Bar charts represent the Open, High, Low, and Close prices of a currency pair for a specific time period. They provide more detailed information than line charts. 
  • Candlestick Charts: Candlestick charts use “candles” to show the same OHLC data as bar charts but in a visually appealing way. The colour of the candle and its shape convey valuable information about price movements. 

Each type of chart has its strengths and is suitable for different trading styles and purposes. As you continue your Forex journey, you’ll explore these chart types in more depth and discover which one resonates best with your trading style and goals. 

Line Charts 

Line charts are the simplest and most fundamental type of Forex charts. They present price data as a continuous line that connects the closing prices of a currency pair over a specific time period. These charts offer a straightforward way to visualise the general direction of a currency’s price movement. 

Line charts are often favoured by beginners due to their simplicity and ease of use. They are a great starting point for those new to Forex trading, providing a clear overview of price trends without overwhelming details. 

source: investopedia.com

How to Read and Interpret Line Charts 

Reading a line chart is akin to connecting the dots on a graph. Here’s how you can read and interpret a line chart: 

  • Time on the X-Axis: The horizontal axis (X-axis) represents time, usually displayed as hours, days, weeks, or months, depending on the chosen timeframe. 
  • Price on the Y-Axis: The vertical axis (Y-axis) represents the price of the currency pair. The values on this axis vary according to the price scale. 
  • Connecting the Dots: To understand a currency pair’s price movement, observe how the line connects the closing prices over time. A rising line suggests a bullish trend (prices are increasing), while a falling line indicates a bearish trend (prices are decreasing). 
  • General Trend: Line charts are excellent for identifying the general trend of a currency pair. If the line is consistently moving upward, it indicates a bullish trend, and if it’s consistently moving downward, it signifies a bearish trend. 

In summary, line charts are a beginner-friendly tool that helps traders grasp the overall trend of a currency pair quickly. While they lack some of the detail offered by other chart types, they serve as an excellent starting point for those new to Forex trading. 

Explore bar charts, candlestick charts, timeframes, and charting periods in Part 2 of this article.

Dividend Adjustment Notice – September 7, 2023

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

Market Volatility: Stocks Decline, US Dollar Strengthens, and Cryptocurrencies Hold Steady

On Wednesday, the stock market saw declines, driven by concerns about potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, leading to a 0.57% drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a 0.7% dip in the S&P 500, and a 1.06% fall in the Nasdaq Composite. Rising Treasury yields played a role in these losses, particularly affecting technology stocks like Nvidia and Apple. Meanwhile, the US dollar strengthened due to positive ISM data, while the euro (EUR/USD) had a modest gain. GBP/USD declined below 1.25 as Bank of England officials questioned the need for further rate hikes. Precious metals like gold and silver slid due to rising US yields, while cryptocurrencies remained resilient amid discussions about a global cryptocurrency framework within the G20.

Stock Market Updates

On Wednesday, the stock market experienced a notable decline, extending its lackluster performance into September. Investors grew increasingly apprehensive that the Federal Reserve might not have completed its interest rate hikes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, for instance, dropped by 198.78 points, equivalent to 0.57%, settling at 34,443.19. Similarly, the S&P 500 saw a 0.7% dip, concluding the day at 4,465.48, while the Nasdaq Composite fared even worse, falling by 1.06% and closing at 13,872.47. These declines were largely attributed to rising Treasury yields, particularly the 2-year Treasury note, which surged by approximately 6 basis points and exceeded the 5% threshold.

The upward trajectory in Treasury yields was unsettling for risk assets, with technology stocks, in particular, underperforming. Notably, the Nasdaq experienced its third consecutive day of losses, with leading tech companies like Nvidia and Apple both witnessing declines of over 3%. This negative sentiment also weighed on the Dow, with stocks like Amgen and Boeing declining by around 2% each. The surge in Treasury yields coincided with stronger-than-expected economic data, causing concerns about the possibility of further interest rate hikes. Recent readings on the U.S. economy’s services and manufacturing sectors indicated that prices were moving unfavorably, triggering market uncertainty. Additionally, the probability of a rate hike in November rose, with traders assigning a greater than 40% chance, while a 93% likelihood of the central bank maintaining rates this month was noted, according to the CME Group. In light of this, Boston Fed President Susan Collins suggested cautious progress on rate hikes, although she acknowledged that further tightening might be warranted based on data trends.

Data by Bloomberg

On Wednesday, the overall market saw a decline of 0.70%. Among the sectors, Utilities and Energy showed slight gains, with increases of 0.20% and 0.14%, respectively. On the other hand, several sectors experienced losses, with Information Technology being the hardest hit with a substantial drop of 1.37%. Consumer Discretionary also faced a significant decline of 0.97%. Other sectors like Health Care, Communication Services, Industrials, and Materials saw moderate declines ranging from 0.48% to 0.61%. Financials, Consumer Staples, Real Estate, and All Sectors recorded smaller losses, ranging from -0.17% to -0.70%.

Currency Market Updates

On Wednesday, the dollar index strengthened as the ISM non-manufacturing PMI outperformed expectations, leading to a reversal in Treasury yields. Initially, these lower yields had put pressure on the U.S. currency, but the upbeat ISM data boosted expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in November, pushing the odds above 50%. Meanwhile, EUR/USD saw a modest increase of 0.12%. The European Central Bank (ECB) was mirroring the Fed’s rate hike expectations, with a potential hike in September and roughly a 50% chance of a rate increase on October 26. Traders were looking ahead to euro zone employment data and Q2 GDP figures for insights into the ECB’s near-term policy decisions.

USD/JPY managed to recover from earlier losses, thanks in part to rising Treasury yields and positive ISM data, bringing it closer to its early Asia 2023 high at 147.82. However, earlier remarks from Japan’s top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, expressing concern about speculative yen selling, had initially weighed on the pair. On the other hand, GBP/USD dipped below 1.25, hitting lows not seen since early June 2023. The downward pressure was exacerbated by comments from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, Deputy Governor Jon Cunliffe, and Swati Dhingra, who raised questions about the necessity for further rate hikes, adopting a less hawkish stance. Key support at the 200-DMA around 1.2425 was in focus, with a close below potentially signaling a move toward 1.1805, the March 8, 2023 low.

In the commodities market, rising U.S. yields had a negative impact on precious metals, with gold sliding by 0.4% to $1,917 and silver dipping 1.5% to $23.17. Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies defied the weight of high-interest rates, as Bitcoin rose by 0.5% to $25.8k, and Ether gained 0.55% to reach $1,641.30. This resilience was attributed to discussions within the G20 about establishing a global framework for cryptocurrencies.

Picks of the Day Analysis
EUR/USD (4 Hours)

EUR/USD Trends Lower Amid Economic Dynamics

The EUR/USD pair reached a new three-month low, hovering just above 1.0700, primarily due to robust US economic data and a prevailing sense of risk aversion bolstering the US Dollar. In contrast, Eurozone indicators painted a concerning picture, with a substantial 11.7% drop in German Factory Orders and a 0.2% decline in Eurozone Retail Sales for July, casting uncertainty over the European Central Bank’s (ECB) upcoming decisions. Despite these setbacks, the Euro managed to outperform the Pound and Swiss Franc. Upcoming Eurostat releases on Q2 employment and GDP data are not expected to have a significant impact since they involve revisions.

Conversely, in the US, the ISM Manufacturing PMI surpassed expectations, bolstering the Greenback. After briefly touching a low of 1.0702, the EUR/USD pair rebounded to 1.0730. The US Dollar’s strength continues to be driven by robust economic performance and risk aversion. Looking ahead, Jobless Claims and Unit Labor Cost data are anticipated on Thursday, likely to further influence the currency market.

Chart EURUSD by TradingView

According to technical analysis, the EUR/USD moves flat on Wednesday and is currently trading just above the lower bands of the Bollinger Bands. This movement suggests the possibility of another downward move to create a lower push to the lower band. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 34, indicating that the EUR/USD is trending lower and attempting to stay in a bearish trend.

Resistance: 1.0759, 1.0803

Support: 1.0702, 1.0653

XAU/USD (4 Hours)

XAU/USD Extends Decline Amid Dollar’s Ongoing Strength and Mixed Economic Data

On Wednesday, the US Dollar continued its ascent, causing XAU/USD (Gold) to decline for the fourth consecutive day. Gold traded near an intraday low of $1,915.27 per troy ounce, reacting to mixed US macroeconomic data.

S&P Global revised down the August Services PMI, indicating a slowdown in growth, while the ISM Services PMI reported expansion in the services sector. The IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index also rose, signaling resilience in the economy. However, inflation-related concerns persisted, leading to increased odds of a 25-basis points rate hike by the Federal Reserve in November, which in turn drove demand for the safe-haven US Dollar. As a result, stock markets turned negative amid these developments.

Chart XAUUSD by TradingView

According to technical analysis, XAU/USD moves lower on Wednesday and created a push to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price is moving slightly above the lower band, indicating a possibility of a slight increase in Gold’s value, but it’s still in a bearish mode. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 34, suggesting that the XAU/USD pair is now in a bearish mode.

Resistance: $1,925, $1,935

Support: $1,912, $1,903

Economic Data
CurrencyDataTime (GMT + 8)Forecast
USDUnemployment Claims20:30232K

Risk and Reward: The Role of Emotional Discipline in Forex Trading

Imagine a novice trader named John, eager to explore the exciting world of Forex trading. Inspired by tales of impressive profits and dreams of financial independence, he leaps into the market without a clear plan, driven by optimism and the promise of quick riches. 

Initially, luck smiles upon John, with his first few trades yielding profits that make him feel invincible. However, as the market shifts, so do his emotions. Fear creeps in when a trade takes an unexpected turn, and greed encourages him to hold onto losing positions, hoping for a miraculous turnaround. 

Fast forward a few weeks, and John’s trading account has dwindled significantly. What once was excitement has transformed into frustration and disappointment. John’s story is a familiar one in the world of Forex trading, emphasising the critical importance of risk management. 

Understanding Forex Market Risk 

While the allure of profits is enticing, it’s equally vital to grasp the associated risks. Risk management forms the foundation of a successful Forex trading strategy. Without it, your trading capital is at serious risk. 

To navigate the Forex market successfully, it’s crucial to comprehend the underlying risks. Here’s a concise exploration of these risks. 

Currency Pairs and Volatility 

Currency pairs are the building blocks of Forex trading. They represent the exchange rate between two currencies, such as EUR/USD, GBP/JPY, or AUD/JPY. Each currency pair has its unique characteristics and inherent volatility levels

  • Major Pairs: Currency pairs that involve major global currencies, like the EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar), tend to be less volatile and offer high liquidity. They are often favoured by beginners for their stability and predictable price movements. 
  • Minor and Exotic Pairs: These pairs involve currencies from smaller or emerging economies. They can exhibit higher volatility due to their lower trading volumes and susceptibility to economic and political events. Examples include the GBP/TRY (British Pound/Turkish Lira) or EUR/SGD (Euro/Singapore Dollar). 
source: Reddit.com

Market Risk 

Market risk, also known as systematic risk, encompasses inherent uncertainties in currency prices. Key factors include: 

  • Economic Events: Releases like GDP reports and employment figures can significantly impact currency values, necessitating attention to economic calendars
  • Geopolitical Developments: Political events, trade agreements, and conflicts can create market volatility, impacting currency movements. 
  • Central Bank Policies: Interest rate decisions and monetary policies from central banks influence currency values, demanding vigilance regarding policy changes. 
  • Global Events: Natural disasters, health crises, and major news events can shift market sentiment and trigger currency fluctuations. 

Effectively managing market risk involves staying informed, conducting research, and using risk mitigation tools such as stop-loss orders. These tools protect your capital and limit potential losses when navigating market uncertainties. 

The Role of Leverage 

Leverage is a double-edged sword in Forex trading. Leverage allows traders to control larger positions with a relatively small amount of their own capital. And it multiplies both potential profits and potential losses

For instance, with leverage, your $1,000 capital might control a position worth $100,000. A 1% price move against your position could result in a $1,000 loss, wiping out your capital. Be cautious not to overextend. 

To manage leverage effectively, understand your risk tolerance, use stop-loss orders, and choose appropriate leverage levels that match your strategy. This approach allows you to harness leverage for profit while protecting your capital, a key aspect of responsible and successful Forex trading. 

Setting Risk Tolerance 

Understanding your risk tolerance is a fundamental aspect of effective risk management in Forex trading. Let’s explore this concept along with the practical application of the 1% rule. 

Identifying Your Risk Tolerance 

Every trader’s risk tolerance is unique, shaped by their financial situation and personal preferences. Recognising your individual risk tolerance is essential for crafting a trading strategy that aligns with your goals and emotional comfort. 

The 1% Rule 

A widely respected guideline in Forex trading is the 1% rule. It advises traders to limit the risk on any single trade to no more than 1% of their total trading capital. 

Implementing the 1% rule involves calculating the precise amount you’re willing to risk on each trade based on your capital size. This calculation aids in setting accurate stop-loss levels, ensuring that you exit a losing trade before the loss surpasses your predetermined risk threshold. 

By integrating your risk tolerance and the 1% rule into your trading strategy, you establish a robust foundation for responsible and sustainable Forex trading. This approach safeguards your capital while allowing you to seize opportunities in the market. 

Emotional Discipline 

Emotions, such as fear, greed, and the “Fear of Missing Out” (FOMO) effect, play a significant role in Forex trading. These emotions can cloud your judgment and lead to impulsive trading decisions, which can be detrimental to your trading success. Recognising the emotional aspect of trading is essential for successful risk management. 

Recognising the FOMO Effect 

FOMO often arises when traders see rapid price movements in a currency pair and feel the urge to jump into the market without a well-thought-out plan. It can result in chasing the market and entering trades at unfavourable prices. This fear of missing out on a potentially profitable trade can be a powerful emotion to overcome. 

Strategies for Emotional Discipline 

To counter the FOMO effect and other emotional pitfalls, it’s crucial to stick to your trading plan and not succumb to impulsive actions. Implementing strategies to maintain emotional discipline, such as setting predefined entry and exit points and using stop-loss and take-profit orders to automate your trades, can help you stay on track and avoid impulsive actions. 

By recognising and addressing the FOMO effect and other emotional challenges, you’ll be better equipped to make rational and calculated trading decisions, ultimately contributing to more effective risk management in your Forex trading endeavours. 

In conclusion, risk management is fundamental to successful Forex trading. By understanding risks, using leverage wisely, setting risk tolerance, and maintaining discipline, you can trade confidently. While no strategy is foolproof and losses are part of trading, mastering risk management minimises losses and enhances your chances of long-term success in Forex. 

Summary: 

  • Forex trading involves inherent risks, and effective risk management is essential for success. 
  • Understanding the Forex market’s volatility, currency pairs, and market risk is crucial for informed trading decisions. 
  • Leverage, while amplifying profits, also magnifies losses. It should be used wisely and aligned with your risk tolerance. 
  • Setting your risk tolerance is critical. The 1% rule advises not risking more than 1% of your capital on a single trade, ensuring capital preservation. 
  • Emotional discipline is vital in Forex trading. Emotions like fear, greed, and FOMO can lead to impulsive decisions. Strategies such as setting predefined entry and exit points help maintain discipline. 

Dividend Adjustment Notice – September 6, 2023

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

Market Turbulence Amidst Rising Oil Prices, Stronger Dollar, and Global Economic Concerns

On Tuesday, the stock market faced turbulence with notable declines in major indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which dropped 0.56%, and the S&P 500, which fell by 0.42%. This market downturn was primarily triggered by a significant surge in crude oil prices, driven by Saudi Arabia and Russia’s decision to extend supply cuts. Energy stocks benefited from this surge, but airline and cruise stocks took a hit. Additionally, rising oil prices pushed up Treasury yields, adding pressure to risk assets. The dollar gained strength, driven by disappointing economic data, particularly in China and the Eurozone, contributing to a dimmer global growth outlook. This led to a decline in the EUR/USD pair, while USD/JPY reached a new high for 2023. GBP/USD also declined, despite positive UK PMI data. AUD/USD was hit hardest, reflecting concerns about weak Chinese growth. Gold and Bitcoin were sensitive to rising global yields, experiencing price declines. In the upcoming Asian session, attention will turn to Australia’s Q2 Real GDP data for insights into the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy direction.

Stock Market Updates

On Tuesday, stocks faced a turbulent start to the trading week, primarily due to a significant surge in crude oil prices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed with a loss of 195.74 points, representing a 0.56% decline, settling at 34,641.97. Similarly, the S&P 500 experienced a 0.42% drop, concluding the day at 4,496.83, while the Nasdaq Composite edged down 0.08%, settling at 14,020.95. This downward trend in the stock market was triggered by an increase in oil prices, following Saudi Arabia and Russia’s decision to extend voluntary supply cuts. West Texas Intermediate futures saw a substantial gain of over 1%, briefly surpassing $87 per barrel, marking their highest levels since November. This news had a positive impact on energy stocks, with the S&P 500 energy sector gaining 0.5%. Notably, shares of companies like Halliburton, Occidental Petroleum, and EOG Resources saw notable increases. However, the surge in oil prices had adverse effects on airline and cruise stocks, causing significant declines for companies such as American Airlines, United Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and Carnival.

Furthermore, this spike in oil prices also led to a rise in Treasury yields, putting pressure on risk assets. The yield on the 10-year Treasury increased by approximately 9 basis points, reaching around 4.27%. Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services, highlighted the potential inflationary impact of rising oil prices, which could complicate the Federal Reserve’s efforts to maintain a delicate balance between achieving a soft economic landing and preventing a slowdown. Consequently, the day witnessed substantial losses in small and midcap stocks, with the S&P Small Cap 600 experiencing its worst day since February with a nearly 3% decline. Additionally, the S&P Midcap 400 slumped approximately 2.3%, and the Russell 2000 fell by 2.1%.

A chart showing stock market performance of all sectors by Bloomberg 5th September 2023

Data by Bloomberg

On Tuesday, the overall stock market (All Sectors) experienced a slight decline of 0.42%. However, there were variations in performance among different sectors. The Energy sector stood out with a notable gain of 0.49%, followed by Information Technology, which saw a 0.39% increase. Communication Services showed a modest uptick of 0.04%. In contrast, several sectors faced declines, including Consumer Discretionary (-0.09%), Consumer Staples (-0.83%), Health Care (-0.94%), Real Estate (-0.95%), Financials (-0.96%), Utilities (-1.54%), Industrials (-1.69%), and Materials (-1.81%).

Currency Market Updates

The dollar index saw a notable 0.6% increase as trading resumed after the Labor Day holiday weekend. Traders displayed a preference for safe-haven assets, leading to increased demand for the dollar. This shift was driven by disappointing China Caixin services PMI data and added pressure from euro zone PMI figures, which collectively contributed to a dimmer global growth outlook. Consequently, the EUR/USD pair declined by 0.63%, reflecting concerns about reduced European growth prospects and doubts about the European Central Bank’s potential rate hike at its upcoming Governing Council meeting on September 14. The pair reached a three-month low at 1.0705 before slightly rebounding to 1.0730 in North American afternoon trading. Euro bears now have their sights set on the June 2 weekly low at 1.0635, with late-February lows below 1.0550 as potential targets.

In contrast, USD/JPY reached a new high for 2023 at 147.76 and remained near that level in late trading. The yen continued to face considerable downward pressure due to widening U.S.-Japan yield differentials. The Bank of Japan’s commitment to an ultra-accommodative rate stance contrasted with expectations of the Federal Reserve maintaining higher rates for an extended period, further contributing to the yen’s decline. Traders also appeared to have shifted their expectations for Japanese government intervention to the 150 level, slightly below the 2022 high at 151.94. Additionally, GBP/USD experienced a 0.47% decline, with sterling’s weakness lagging slightly behind. Despite UK PMI data surpassing forecasts, concerns about the impact of rising UK rates on the economy persisted. However, with the Bank of England expected to continue raising rates and maintain a relatively hawkish stance compared to other developed market central banks, GBP/USD may be approaching a bottom. Finally, AUD/USD faced the sharpest decline among major currency pairs, falling to a session low at 0.6358 and closing down 1.32% at 0.6380. This decline was attributed to falling China PMI data, which suggested that weak growth in China could temper Australian economic prospects. Rising U.S. Treasury yields impacted gold, leading to a 0.6% decrease in its price to $1,926. Bitcoin, sensitive to global yield trends, experienced a 0.3% decline to $25.7k after trading in the range of $25.9k-$25.5k. In the upcoming Asia session, the focus will be on Australia’s Q2 Real GDP data, which may provide insights into the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy direction.

Picks of the Day Analysis
EUR/USD (4 Hours)

EUR/USD Slides to June Lows Amidst Stronger US Dollar and Eurozone Concerns

The EUR/USD pair recently experienced a significant drop, breaking decisively below the 1.0760 level and reaching a low of 1.0706, its lowest point since June. This decline is primarily attributed to the strength of the US Dollar, driven by caution in the markets and higher US yields. The US Dollar Index reached a nine-month high near 105.00. Conversely, the Euro faced downward pressure due to concerns over the Eurozone’s economic outlook, with September PMIs reflecting this sentiment, particularly the Eurozone’s Service PMI falling to 47.9, below the preliminary reading of 48.3. Looking ahead, economic data releases will continue to play a pivotal role in shaping the market’s expectations. Germany will unveil Factory Orders data, and the Eurozone will present Retail Sales figures. In the US, the ISM Services PMI is scheduled. Federal Reserve officials remain open to the possibility of further rate hikes, despite market perceptions of a rate hike pause. This divergence in economic outlook between the US and Eurozone is likely to maintain pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

Chart EURUSD by TradingView

According to technical analysis, the EUR/USD moves lower on Tuesday and is currently trading just above the lower bands of the Bollinger Bands. This movement suggests the possibility of another downward move to create a lower push to the lower band. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 26, indicating that the EUR/USD is trending lower and attempting to stay in a bearish trend.

Resistance: 1.0832, 1.0880

Support: 1.0780, 1.0734

XAU/USD (4 Hours)

XAU/USD Dips as Risk Aversion Grows Amid Economic Concerns

Risk aversion dominated the financial markets on Tuesday, driven by concerns of a global economic setback triggered by disappointing S&P Global Producer Manager Indexes (PMIs). This surge in risk aversion prompted speculative interest to flock to the US Dollar, resulting in XAU/USD, the Gold to US Dollar exchange rate, declining to $1,925.35 per troy ounce. The S&P Global reports revealed a significant economic slowdown in August, with China’s services output dropping to 51.8, down from the previous 54.1, marking the slowest growth rate this year. Similarly, the Euro Zone reported downward revisions, with the EU Composite PMI hitting a nearly three-year low at 46.7. While US figures were set to be released on Wednesday due to a holiday delay, the US Dollar benefited from the risk-averse sentiment, supported by the country’s economic resilience. Wall Street returned cautiously after a long weekend, with slight losses observed among the major indexes, pending macroeconomic indicators later in the week.

Chart XAUUSD by TradingView

According to technical analysis, XAU/USD traded flat on Tuesday and created a push to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price is moving above the lower band, indicating a possibility of a slight increase in Gold’s value, but it’s still in a bearish mode. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 36, suggesting that the XAU/USD pair is now starting to enter a bearish mode.

Resistance: $1,954, $1,965

Support: $1,936, $1,926

Economic Data
CurrencyDataTime (GMT + 8)Forecast
AUDGDP q/q09:300.4%
CADBOC Rate Statement22:00 
CADOvernight Rate22:005.00%
USDISM Services PMI22:0052.5

Dividend Adjustment Notice – September 5, 2023

Dear Client,

Please note that the dividends of the following products will be adjusted accordingly. Index dividends will be executed separately through a balance statement directly to your trading account, and the comment will be in the following format “Div & Product Name & Net Volume ”.

Please refer to the table below for more details:

The above data is for reference only, please refer to the MT4/MT5 software for specific data.

If you’d like more information, please don’t hesitate to contact [email protected].

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