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VT Markets 致力于为客户提供更快速且稳定的交易环境，我们将于周末进行 VT APP 升级维护。

维护时段：2024 年 06 月 08 日 (星期六) 05:00 至 07:00；
上述时段采用 GMT+8

请您务必留意下列事项：
1. 维护期间，VT APP 将无法登录操作，请您于此期间登录客户后台进行账户管理。

具体维护完毕与开盘时间请依据 VT APP 软件为准。 望您谅解因此次升级维护为您所带来的不便，我们将继续为您提供更优质的服务。

如您有任何疑问，我们的团队将十分乐意为您解答。
请留言或发邮件至 [email protected] 或联系在线客服。

CURRENCIES

US Dollar Decline:

• US Treasury yields remain in a downtrend, weakening the dollar.
• US 2-year yields are nearing a two-month low.
• The dollar index trades below key levels: 200-day SMA, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and recent trend support.
• Friday’s US Jobs Report may temporarily boost the greenback, but medium-term, the index might fall to 103.44 (50% Fib retracement) before testing 102.34.

Gold Recovery:

• Gold continues to recoup recent losses.
• Currently re-testing the $2,360/oz. level; a break above could signal further gains.
• The recent range of $2,280/oz. – $2,450/oz. is expected to hold in the short- to medium-term.

STOCK MARKET

May Jobs Report:

• Nonfarm payrolls expected to rise by 185,000 in May, compared to 175,000 in April.
• Unemployment rate projected to remain flat at 3.9%.
• Average hourly earnings (month-over-month) anticipated to increase by 0.3%, up from 0.2%.
• Average hourly earnings (year-over-year) expected to stay at 3.9%.
• Average weekly hours worked likely to remain at 34.3.

Market Reaction:

• Stock market has hit record highs amid softer-than-expected economic data.
• Increased investor confidence that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates in September.
• Markets pricing in a 67% chance of a rate cut in September, up from 50% a week ago (CME FedWatch Tool).

Labor Market Trends:

• Economists see the report indicating a healthy, balanced labor market rather than a broader economic slowdown.
• Bank of America economist Michael Gapen suggests the “catch-up” effect in hiring is fading, supporting potential for Fed policy easing based on inflation confidence.

Additional Data:

• The latest JOLTS report showed job openings fell to their lowest level since February 2021.
• Ratio of job openings to unemployed people returned to 1.2, aligning with pre-pandemic levels.

Wage Growth:

• April’s year-over-year wage growth fell below 4% for the first time in nearly three years.
• Economists expect May’s wage growth to rise slightly on a monthly basis to 0.3%.
• Year-over-year wage growth expected to remain at 3.9%.

Key Considerations:

• Friday’s report will be scrutinized for signs of either a labor market normalization or an early economic slowdown.
• Consistently high wage growth could contribute to persistent inflation.
• Oxford Economics chief US economist Ryan Sweet notes the Fed aims for a gradual slowing in job and wage growth trends.

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股票产品 APH (安费诺) 即将在 2024 年 06 月 12 日 休市后进行股票分割。自 2024 年 06 月 13 日开市起，APH 预计将会以分割后的合约提供投资者交易。

APH 股票分割后，请您留意：

1. APH 订单持仓量将变为原手数的2倍。

2. APH 持仓仓位的「开仓价格」与「止盈 / 止损设置价格」将变为原价格的2分之1。

3. APH 于 06 月 13 日开市的报价预计将大约是 06 月 12 日休市价格的2分之1。

4. 06 月 12 日休市后，真实账户中所有的 APH 挂单将会被取消。

5. 06 月 12 日休市后，模拟账户中所有的 APH 订单将会被取消，包括持仓以及挂单。

注意：以上数据仅供参考，实际执行数据有可能会有变动，具体请依据 MT4/MT5 软件为准。

如您有任何疑问，我们的团队将十分乐意为您解答。 请留言或发邮件至 [email protected] 或联系在线客服。

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VT Markets 致力于为客户提供更快速且稳定的使用体验，我们将于周末进行客户后台系统升级维护，具体细节请参考如下：

维护时段：2024 年 06 月 09 日 (星期日) 09:00 至 09:30 (GMT+8)

维护时间可能提早结束或延后，于此期间，请您务必留意下列事项：

1. 维护期间，入金与出金功能将暂停开放，建议您避开此期间操作入金与出金功能。

2. 建议您可提前入金，维持账户内的保证金水平。

3. 维护期间，除了入金与出金功能以外，交易与其余功能皆不受影响。

望您谅解因此次升级维护为您所带来的不便，我们将继续为您提供更优质的服务。

如您有任何疑问，我们的团队将十分乐意为您解答。请留言或发邮件至

[email protected]或联系在线客服。

Tips and tricks on how to increase your trading win rate

Every trader enters the financial market with dreams of massive gains, inspired by stories of professional traders making fortunes like a degen.

But here’s a question: do these traders win all the time?  The simple answer is no.

Even the best in the business have win rates of only about 50% to 55%.

Embracing losses

In trading, just like in sports, it’s not about winning every single time.

It’s important to realise that losses are part of the game, even for the pros. So, successful trading isn’t about never losing—it’s about making sure your wins outpace your losses.

But how exactly can a trading strategy give you an edge, and what win rate do profitable traders actually achieve?

Balancing your win rate with a good reward-to-risk ratio

Risk-Reward Ratio = Potential Profit / Potential Loss

Believe it or not, professional traders don’t win every trade. Yet, they still manage to rake in significant returns. If you know how to manage your risk, you can achieve consistent profits with a win rate as low as 30% to 50%.

Understanding win rates

So, what’s a win rate? It’s simply the number of successful trades divided by the total number of trades, expressed as a percentage.

For example, a 50% win rate means you win half of your trades.

Many traders get fixated on their win rate because, naturally, everyone wants to be right all the time. But even top athletes like Lionel Messi in football or Maximilian Günther in Formula E racing don’t win every point.

Pay close attention to your reward-to-risk ratio, aiming for scenarios where the potential reward significantly outweighs the risk.

Imagine this: if you win 5 out of 10 trades, your win rate is 50%.

If those 5 wins earn you $1,000 and your 5 losses cost you $500, you still come out ahead with a net profit of $500.

This shows how even a 50% win rate can be quite profitable.

For a deeper understanding on reward and win rates, see this:  Forex risk: reward and win rates
Risk management plays a huge role here. Professional traders are masters at managing their risk. They use strategies like setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and take-profit orders to lock in gains.

Source: VT Markets

George Soros, a legendary trader, once said:

“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”

In a nutshell…what does all this mean for you?

It means that being right half the time can lead to substantial profits if you manage your risk and develop a solid strategy with a favourable reward-to-risk ratio.

Not every trade will be a winner, but with smart risk management, your profitable trades can cover your losses and still leave you with an overall gain.

So, remember, it’s not about winning every trade—it’s about making your wins count more than your losses.This will pay off in the long run. With this mindset, you’re on your way to a successful trading journey.

Also, practice makes perfect. Need to backtest your trading strategy?

Open a FREE demo account now.

CURRENCIES

US Dollar Setups:

• Analyzing EUR/USD, AUD/USD, and USD/CHF.
• Path for a lower Dollar as economic data deteriorates.
• Focus on EUR/USD ahead of ECB rate cut.
• Dollar bulls eye lower AUD/USD amid waning risk appetite.
• Swiss Franc advances, overheating signals flash red.

A Path for a Lower USD Comes into View as Data Deteriorates:

• Notable decline in US economic data.
• GDP now forecast shows massive turnaround in Q2 growth.
• Disinflation narrative returns with April’s CPI and PCE data.
• Accumulation of weaker-than-expected data observed.

EUR/USD in Focus Ahead of the Highly Anticipated Rate Cut:

• ECB gearing up for first rate cut.
• Market reaction likely muted, attention on path of rate cuts.
• EUR/USD attempting bullish breakout, conviction lacking.
• Challenges to EUR/USD downside, key support levels.

Swiss Franc Advances at Pace but Overheating Signals Flash Red:

• USD/CHF plummets, bearish setup.
• Immediate threat from 200-Day SMA and RSI oversold territory.
• SNB Chairman dentifies weaker Franc as risk to inflation outlook.
• USD/CHF moving lower, potential entry points awaited.

Dollar Bulls Eye Lower AUD/USD as Risk Appetite Wanes, Iron Ore Prices Ease:

• AUD/USD may provide opportunities amid waning risk appetite.
• Metals struggle to find bullish momentum, iron ore prices decline.
• AUD/USD eases lower, key support levels to watch.

STOCK MARKET

US job market hits milestone on long, strange trip back to pre-pandemic normal:

• Beveridge curve: A wonky economic chart reaches pre-pandemic levels.
• Federal Reserve Governor Christopher waller’s insights validated.
• Job openings and unemployment rate relationship.

Not a marquee concept:

• Significance of the beveridge curve.
• Shifts during the pandemic and return to pre-crisis levels.
• Further progress on inflation and the last mile.

Job openings to unemployed:

• Economic reopening and surge in job openings.
• Impact of the health crisis on labor supply.
• Realignment between worker demand and availability.

Quits Rate:

• Pandemic’s influence on labor market dynamics.
• Historic reshuffling of the labor market.
• Stabilization of the quits rate and implications.

Unemployment rate:

• Sustainable unemployment rate for stable inflation.
• Comparison of pre-pandemic and current unemployment trends.
• Factors affecting labor market functionality.

Monthly payroll growth:

• Anticipation of May job growth data.
• Impact of population growth on job requirements.
• Sustainable job growth rates and post-pandemic realignment.

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股票产品 NVIDIA 即将在 2024 年 06 月 07 日 休市后进行股票分割。自 2024 年 06 月 10 日开市起，NVIDIA 预计将会以分割后的合约提供投资者交易。

NVIDIA 股票分割后，请您留意：

1. NVIDIA 订单持仓量将变为原手数的 10 倍。

2. NVIDIA 持仓仓位的「开仓价格」与「止盈 / 止损设置价格」将变为原价格的 10 分之 1。

3. NVIDIA 于 06 月 10 日开市的报价预计将大约是 06 月 07 日休市价格的 10 分之 1。

4. 06 月 07 日休市后，真实账户中所有的 NVIDIA 挂单将会被取消。

5. 06 月 07 日休市后，模拟账户中所有的 NVIDIA 订单将会被取消，包括持仓以及挂单。

注意：以上数据仅供参考，实际执行数据有可能会有变动，具体请依据 MT4/MT5 软件为准。

如您有任何疑问，我们的团队将十分乐意为您解答。

请留言或发邮件至 [email protected] 或联系在线客服。

CURRENCIES

Key Events and Predictions:

• ECB Rate Decision:
  • ECB to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday.
  • Possible timing of the next cut: Markets suggest September 12th or more likely October 17th.
  • Importance of ECB President Christine Lagarde’s signals on future cuts.
  • ECB post-decision press conference to be closely monitored.
• US Jobs Data:
  • US jobs week concludes with NFPs on Friday.
  • Prior releases include JOLTS, ADP, and initial jobless claims.
  • Market’s view on US rate cuts pushed back due to high inflation.
  • Any weakening in the US job market may prompt re-pricing of US interest rate cuts.

Market Movements and Technical Analysis:

• US Dollar (USD):
  • USD under pressure, nearing a two-month low.
  • USD index is testing the 200-day simple moving average.
  • A confirmed break lower could see USD trade below 104.00.
• Gold:
  • Gold is vulnerable to a move lower.
  • Rise in US Treasury yields influencing gold prices.
  • Target level: $2,280/oz.
  • Friday’s NFPs will be critical for gold’s future performance.
• Nasdaq 100:
  • Index turned lower, affected by performance in Magnificent Seven members.
  • Pullback from a sharp early sell-off.
  • Friday’s price action will be crucial for potential recovery.
  • Index remains vulnerable due to its concentration in a few mega-cap companies.

STOCK MARKET

Key Market Indices:

• Nasdaq Composite (IXIC): Near flat over the past five trading sessions.
• S&P 500 (GSPC): Rose less than 0.2%.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): Down nearly 1%.

Market Performance in May:

• Stocks stumbled at the end of May.
• Investor enthusiasm for AI paused.
• Concerns over Federal Reserve holding interest rates higher for longer.

Upcoming Labour Market Data:

May jobs report expected:

• Forecast: 185,000 nonfarm payroll jobs added.
• Unemployment Rate: Expected to hold steady at 3.9%.
• April Data: 175,000 jobs added, unemployment at 3.9%.

Inflation Insights:

• PCE Index Update:
  • April reading showed a 0.2% increase from the prior month.
  • Lowest monthly increase in 2024.
  • Economists noted it as better news on inflation compared to Q1.
  • Investors’ interest rate cut expectations remained unchanged.
• Federal Reserve Outlook:
  • Officials require “greater confidence” in inflation’s decline before cutting rates.

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VT Markets 平台的部份期货产品即将于以下时间展开新合约，如持仓过夜将对换约造成的额外盈亏进行扣补。详情请见下方表格：

由于并非市场因素所造成的价格波动，若投资者的仓位于合约切换期间包含期货原油的未平仓头寸，将依据展期方向产生相应的扣补，以此反映新旧合约之间的价差。

请留意：

• 展期时，合约将自动切换，所有持仓中的订单将可继续持有。

• 展期日未平仓的订单将对换约所产生的额外盈亏进行补扣调整，以反映到期合约和新合约之间的价格差异。

• 为避免差价合约展期，客户可以选择在展期日之前关闭任何未平仓的订单。

• 投资者应在展期前妥善控制仓位或调整相应的止盈止损设置。

• 同同时，由于展期需做调整，在展期当天开盘前后半小时，我们会禁止所有同名账户内部转账。

如您有任何疑问，我们的团队将十分乐意为您解答。

请发邮件至 [email protected] 或联系在线客服。

Famous for his principles in value investing, mainstream media regard Warren Buffett as one of the most successful investors of all time. Buffett runs Berkshire Hathaway (Symbol: BRKB), one of the favourite stocks for many investors in the world. 

But there is an alternative school of thought challenging that Warren Buffett’s principles are “old school, obsolete, unrealistic and unsexy”. 

Buffett’s principles and his lifestyle 

Keywords of value investing principles are “long-term”, “patience” and “value”. Very much slow and steady. And people tend to forget that Buffett started investing when he was 10 years old, and he has since then been consistent until today. With an average ROI of 22% per year and compounding power, it is easy to see why Buffett ends up being one of the wealthiest people on the planet. 

Realistically though, how many people start investing at the age of 10? Probably no one else apart from Buffett himself. 

Modern day lifestyle, inflation and debt  

Consider an alternative scenario where Buffett only starts investing when he was 30, whereby he would have been drowned with student debts from pursuing a master’s degree or PhD. With a regular job, he is only left with some USD500 a month after deducting the necessities. At the same ROI of 22% per year, he would end up with 99.9% less even after a period of 30 years.  

There is just no way Buffett would be labelled as “the most successful investor”, even if he had been disciplined in his investment journey based on this alternative scenario. 

The truth is that most people belong to this alternative scenario rather than being born as an investment prodigy who would start at the age of 10.  

Add inflation into the picture and the ROI would be eroded to somewhere between 15-18% per year. Growing your wealth with a small capital and at such a speed is just not enough to keep up and live a decently happy life, much less to achieve financial freedom or becoming rich. 

Value investing with little money down does not make any sense 

Once again, consider yourself as an individual in the alternative scenario mentioned earlier. With just USD 500 spare cash a month and a long-only strategy, it is not easy to salvage a bad entry point, especially if you entered at the highest point of the market. It is also mentally painful if you decide to practice dollar cost averaging (DCA) when the market is crashing, as the more cash you invest, the more your portfolio will be bleeding. Sometimes it takes half a decade for the investment to break even. And the investor would already lose out to inflation too. For nothing. 

What a pain. 

An average joe with just USD 500 spare cash a month also must diversify. Playing the all-in strategy means you go big or go home. Buffett can do concentrated positions because he has the holding power, but truth is most people do not have such holding power. Choices are needed in certain occasions, and if one asset class is down, people do need another asset class to cover back the losses. And that is just how reality works. 

A lot of flexibility is what helps the average individuals 

This is where CFD trading becomes very appealing to many. Flexible, small and quick – just like a ninja.  

Make money no matter the market is bullish or bearish 

In CFDs, you can choose to bet if the market is going upwards or downwards. If the market is crashing, you can simply choose to follow the trend and short the market, making money when everyone else is bleeding.  

Fast in fast out equals healthy cashflow 

Most CFD traders practice intraday trading, and positions would be closed quickly to avoid overnight risks. Such practice also allows for healthy cashflow for a regular person. There would be no necessity to have your USD 500 cash stuck for extended periods of time.  

Lower barrier to entry with leverage 

With leverage of up to 500:1, CFDs also offer a lower barrier to entry – you only need to put up a small sum to gain full market exposure. 

With a starting amount of USD 500 and leverage of 500:1, you can open positions of up to USD250,000, which can potentially amplify your profits. With Warren Buffett’s methods, you will have to earn the spare cash of USD250,000 first, which is not really viable to many. 

Diversification of markets you can expose yourself to 

You can gain exposure to forex, commodities, bonds, shares, indices and ETFs via CFD trading. It is easy to hedge or diversify with CFDs. 

So, is Warren Buffett lying? 

Perhaps from his own perspective, Buffett is not lying per se. But his methods are unrealistic and cumbersome for anyone without USD 1,000,000 in cash lying around waiting to be invested.

Once a while, everyone would want a cup of latte or boba tea, travel to another country, celebrate little moments in life, and just live simple happiness. Life could feel meaningless if every single penny saved must be invested and had to be locked for at least half a decade. 

Start CFD trading with VT Markets 

With 1000+ assets being offered in the form of CFD trading, there is nothing to stop you from living the lifestyle you desire. Start your financial trading journey today! 

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